Empirical Analysis of the Influence of TBT on Shanghai's Export Trade
The main export products of Shanghai area are industrial products,and the influence of TBT measures on the export trade of Shanghai products has been increasingly valued.Based on the hypothesis of the influence of TBT quantity on regional exports,this paper studies the influence of TBT measures on Shanghai's export trade by constructing a modified gravity model.The results show that:the TBT measures of importing countries or regions have a certain inhibiting effect on Shanghai's export trade,and the impact is the largest impact in the current period.Considering the time lag of the impact,the negative trade impact of TBT of importing countries on Shanghai will slowly decline over time,but the degree of reduction is very small,indicating that the actual impact of TBT on exports is complex;From the perspective of the impact of TBT on Shanghai's exports in the current period and three months behind,the export destinations of developed countries are stronger than other countries or regions.
TBTgravity modelexport traderegiondeveloped countries