首页|长三角地区碳排放-城市高质量发展水平耦合协调演变及影响因素分析

长三角地区碳排放-城市高质量发展水平耦合协调演变及影响因素分析

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降低碳排放强度与高质量发展是城市发展的两个重要目标.本文基于熵权法构建城市高质量发展水平指标体系,并运用耦合协调度模型和双向固定效应回归对长三角地区27个城市2000-2019年的碳排放强度与城市高质量发展水平耦合协调度时空演变特征及影响因素进行分析.结论如下:1)研究期内长三角地区碳排放强度评价得分保持稳定,有小幅度下降,城市高质量发展水平得分不断提升:碳排放强度-城市高质量发展水平耦合度与耦合协调度水平平稳上升.2)区域内各城市平均耦合协调度不断上升,城市间耦合协调度变化趋势相似,呈现出波动上升且差距不断缩小的特点,2019年全域各城市均进入协调发展阶段.3)在空间分布上,长三角地区耦合协调度具有"东高西低,南高北低"的特点,并呈现以东南部沿海经济发达地区为中心,向四周扩散的演变格局.4)技术发展基础指标、环境治理基础指标及经济发展基础指标对长三角地区耦合协调度均起到正向促进作用.
Coupling evolution and influencing factors of carbon emissions-urban high quality development level in Yangtze River Delta
Improving carbon emission efficiency and high-quality development are two impor-tant goals of urban development.Based on the entropy weight method,this paper constructed the index system of urban high-quality development level,and analyzed the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics and influencing factors of the coupling coordination degree of carbon emission intensity and urban high-quality development level in 27 cities in the Yangtze River Delta region from 2000 to 2019 by using the coupling coordination model and two-way fixed ef-fect regression.The conclusions are as follows:1)During the study period,the carbon emission intensity of the Yangtze River Delta region remained stable,with a slight decrease,and the score of high-quality urban development continued to increase;Carbon emission intensity-the level of coupling and coordination of high-quality urban development has increased steadily.2)The average coupling coordination degree of cities in the region continues to rise,and the change trend of coupling coordination degree between cities is similar,showing the characteristics of ris-ing fluctuations and narrowing gaps,and all cities in the region entered the stage of coordinated development in 2019.3)In terms of spatial distribution,the coupling coordination degree of the Yangtze River Delta region has the characteristics of"high in the east and low in the west,high in the south and low in the north",and presents an evolutionary pattern of spreading to the sur-rounding areas centered on the economically developed coastal areas in the southeast.4)The ba-sic indicators of technological development,environmental governance and economic develop-ment all play a positive role in promoting the coupling coordination degree of the Yangtze River Delta region.

carbon emission intensityhigh quality urban development levelCoupling Coor-dination Degree ModelYangtze River Delta

陈鑫、周加贝、廖远涛、王少剑

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广州市城市规划勘测设计研究院有限公司,广州 510060

广州市资源规划和海洋科技协同创新中心,广州 510060

广东省城市感知与监测预警企业重点实验室,广州 510060

中山大学地理科学与规划学院,广州 510006

武汉大学城市设计学院,武汉 430072

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碳排放强度 城市高质量发展水平 耦合协调度模型 长三角

广州市资源规划和海洋科技协同创新中心项目广州市资源规划和海洋科技协同创新中心项目广东省重点领域研发计划广东省城市感知与监测预警企业重点实验室项目广州市哲学社会科学规划项目广州市城市规划勘测设计研究院专业级课题

2023B04J03012023B04J00462020B01011300092020B1212020192023GZYB81RDP2220202074

2024

世界地理研究
中国地理学会

世界地理研究

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.232
ISSN:1004-9479
年,卷(期):2024.33(3)
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