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云南省县域边境地方贸易时空演变及驱动因素

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借助CV系数和GIS空间分析刻画云南省县域边境贸易时空演变特征及发展模式,结合边境贸易发展水平模型,深入分析其发展格局,并运用地理探测器探析其边境贸易的驱动机制.结果表明:①云南省县域边境贸易整体呈现上升趋势,且县域间总量差异较大分布不均,以西部瑞丽市、南部勐腊县为代表的县域贸易总量较高,而西南部西盟县、西北部泸水等县域整体贸易量较小.②2010-2020年,云南县域边境贸易发展格局变化差异明显,边境贸易中心呈"L"形特征,并逐渐向中缅边境方向转移.③同期,西部、东南部边境县域边境贸易发展水平较高,增速稳定;西北、西南部发展水平低,增长较快;南部发展水平较高,增长缓慢.④影响县域边境贸易的主要驱动因素为政策和交通因素,次要驱动因素为人均GDP,同时边境县域所对应邻国不同,其驱动因素也存在差异.
Spatial and temporal evolution of border trade in Yunnan counties and its influencing factors
Using Coefficient of Variation and GIS spatial analysis,we detected the spatial and temporal evolution and development patterns of border trade in Yunnan counties,analyze the de-velopment pattern of border trade in depth by combining with the model of border trade develop-ment level,and explore the driving mechanism of border trade by using geographic probes.The results show that:① the overall trend of county border trade in Yunnan Province is on the rise,and the total volume varies unevenly among counties,with Ruili City in the west and Mengla County in the south as the representative counties with higher total trade volume,while the over-all trade volume in Ximeng County in the southwest and Lushui County in the northwest is smaller.② From 2010 to 2020,the development pattern of county border trade in Yunnan Prov-ince varies.(3)During the same period,the border trade development in the western and south-eastern border counties is high and the growth rate is stable;the development in the northwestern and southwestern counties is low and the growth is fast;the development in the southern coun-ties is high and the growth is slow.④ The main driving factors affecting the border trade in the counties factors are policy and transportation factors,and the secondary driver is GDP per capita,while there are differences in the driving factors of border counties with different neighboring countries.

border tradetemporal and spatial evolutioncounty bordersdriving factorsYun-nan Province

刘宇斯、李灿松、葛旭瑞、王涛、王帆

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云南师范大学地理学部,昆明 650500

西南联合研究生院,昆明 650092

云南师范大学教育部国别与区域研究中心缅甸研究中心,昆明 650500

云南省社会科学院,昆明 650100

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边境贸易 时空演变 县域边境 驱动因素 云南省

云南省科技基础专项重点项目云南省教育厅科学研究基金项目云南省教育厅科学研究基金项目

202001AS0700322023Y05242022Y178

2024

世界地理研究
中国地理学会

世界地理研究

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.232
ISSN:1004-9479
年,卷(期):2024.33(8)
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