Research on spatial difference of factors influencing floating population's settlement intention in the Yangtze River Delta
The Yangtze River Delta is the region with the most active population flow in my country.Floating population's settlement intention determines the process of citizenization and the quality of new urbanization.Based on the data from the 2017 national migrant population dynamic monitoring survey and related statistics,this study used the exploratory spatial data analysis,geographically weighted regression model,and systematic cluster analysis to examine the spatial pattern of the floating population's settlement intention and the spatial variation of the factors influencing such intention in the Yangtze River Delta.The following results were ob-tained:(1)The overall settlement intention of the floating population in the Yangtze River Delta is not high,And the proportion of floating population with settlement intention is about 37.91％;Shanghai and Hefei metropolitan areas are the two highlands suitable for settlement intention.(2)The educational level,proportion of the output value of secondary industry in the inflow area,housing price growth rate,and price-to-income ratio in the inflow area have a significant positive effect on the settlement intention of floating population;cross-provincial mobility,rent-to-in-come ratio,and employee status exert an inhibitory impact on such an intention.The influence degree of each index have obvious spatial heterogeneity.(3)The Yangtze River Delta is divided into four major influencing zones:floating population's settlement intention in the central and northern parts of Anhui are significantly affected by economic factors and flow characteristics;the central and northern parts of Jiangsu are dominated by housing factors;in Shanghai and southern Jiangsu,this intention is mainly influenced by multiple factors;finally,Zhejiang and southern Anhui are dominated by the factors of human capital.Finally,according to the hetero-geneous characteristics of the factors affecting the floating population's settlement intention in different regions of the Yangtze River Delta,the paper puts forward differentiated suggestions on floating population services and management from the aspects of management system,public services,employment and housing security.
floating population's settlement intentionspatial differentiationGWRthe Yang-tze River Delta
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
