Moving Together or Leaving Behind:The Impact of Fiscal Pressure of Destination Cities on the Children of Migrants
This paper utilizes the data of China Migrants Dynamic Survey from 2012-2018,taking the Value-Added Tax(VAT)revenue sharing reform between central and local governments as a quasi-natural experiment to examine the impact of fiscal pressure in destination governments on the migratory behavior of children of migrant populations.The study finds that in cities where the fiscal pressure was more heavily impacted by the VAT revenue-sharing ratio reform,there was a significant decrease in the proportion of migrant children who migrated after the reform.Mechanism tests reveal that fiscal pressure inhibits the migration behavior of migrant children by reducing the supply of public services and increasing housing costs.Heterogeneity analysis shows that fiscal pressure has a greater impact on the migratory behavior of girls,and the inhibitory effect of fiscal pressure on children's migration is mainly found in families with low income,families with employment status as employees,and in cities with higher levels of economic development.The conclusions of the study have important implications for further optimizing public services and coordinating fiscal resources.
fiscal pressuremigrant populationchildren's migrationVAT revenue distribution reform
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
维普
