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提高失业保险金是否会延迟再就业

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由于担心对再就业造成负面影响,长期以来中国失业保险待遇处于较低水平,这导致失业保险未能充分发挥保障基本生活和平滑经济波动的功能.本文基于城镇住户调查月度数据的分析发现,从总体效应看失业保险待遇水平提升对再就业并没有显著影响.基于局部均衡视角看待遇水平提升会对参保失业职工的再就业造成负面影响,但也会通过溢出效应促进未参保失业职工再就业,且正向溢出效应能抵消负向局部均衡效应.异质性分析表明,失业保险待遇提高导致参保失业职工的再就业概率下降,这一效应主要体现在高年龄、女性及融资约束强的组别中.同时,失业保险待遇提高主要是促进了未参保人群中低收入、高年龄和男性组别的再就业.本文的研究为制定更为合理的失业保险待遇水平提供了理论借鉴.
Does the Increase in Unemployment Insurance Benefits Postpone Reemployment?
Due to concern about the negative impact on reemployment,unemployment insurance benefits in China have been at a relatively low level for a very long time,which has also led to unemployment insurance not fully playing its role in smoothing out economic fluctuations.Using the event study method and monthly urban household survey data,this paper finds that,from a partial equilibrium perspective,the increase in the level of unemployment insurance benefits has a negative impact on the reemployment of insured unemployed workers.On the other side,it promotes the reemployment of uninsured unemployed workers through spillover effects.The positive and negative effects offset each other,making the overall impact negligible.The heterogeneity analysis reveals that an increase in unemployment insurance benefits decreases the reemployment likelihood of insured unemployed workers,particularly among older age groups,women and groups with financial constraint.At the same time,an increase in unemployment insurance benefits mainly promotes the reemployment of low-income,elderly and male groups among the uninsured population.In the context of the growing unemployment problem,this study provides a theoretical reference for formulating a more reasonable level of unemployment insurance benefits.

unemployment insurancereemploymentspillover effectspartial equilibrium

唐珏、谢强、赵达

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上海财经大学公共经济与管理学院

浙江工商大学经济学院 浙江省杭州市下沙高教园区学正街18号 310018

四川大学经济学院

失业保险 再就业 溢出效应 局部均衡

国家自然科学基金国家自然科学基金

722041572104163

2024

世界经济
中国世界经济学会,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所

世界经济

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.733
ISSN:1002-9621
年,卷(期):2024.47(7)
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