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双向FDI与全球价值链韧性:来自跨国数据的经验证据

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文章构建了 2008~2018年60个国家的"国家—行业—年份"三维面板数据,考察双向FDI互动发展对全球价值链韧性的影响及其作用机制.研究发现:双向FDI互动发展水平的提高能够显著提升全球价值链韧性,该结论经过一系列稳健性检验和内生性检验后仍然成立;机制检验结果表明,双向FDI互动发展水平的提高可以提升各国技术创新能力和生产效率,推动营商环境的改善,从而促进各国全球价值链韧性的提升;在服务业、价值链上游行业以及经济环境良好国家,双向FDI互动发展对全球价值链韧性的提升作用更显著,双向FDI互动发展水平的提高能够弥补资源禀赋不足和改善制度环境,促进这些国家全球价值链韧性的提升.文章的研究结论肯定了双向FDI互动发展对全球价值链韧性的积极作用,对提升产业链供应链韧性和安全水平具有重要启示.
Two-Way FDI and Global Value Chain Resilience:Empirical Evidence from Cross-country Data
This paper constructs"country-industry-year"three-dimensional panel data for 60 countries from 2008 to 2018 to investigate the impact of two-way FDI interaction development on the resilience of global value chains and its mechanism.The study finds that:the increase in the level of two-way FDI interaction and development can signifiicantly improve the resilience of global value chains,and this conclusion still holds after a series of robustness tests and endogenous tests;the results of the mechanism test show that the increase in the level of two-way FDI interaction and development can enhance the technological innovation capacity and production efficiency of each country,and promote the improvement of the business environment,so as to facilitate the en-hancement of the resilience of the global value chains of each country;in the service sector In the service industry,the upstream industries of the value chain,and countries with favorable economic environments,the effect of two-way FDI interactive develop-ment on the enhancement of GVC resilience is more significant,and the increase in the level of two-way FDI interactive develop-ment can make up for the insufficiency of resource endowment and improve the institutional environment,thus promoting the en-hancement of the resilience of the GVCs in these countries.This study affirms the positive effect of two-way FDI interactive devel-opment on the resilience of global value chains,which is an important revelation for improving the resilience and security level of industrial chain supply chains.

李光勤、邱欣悦

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安徽财经大学国际经济贸易学院

双向FDI 全球价值链韧性 营商环境 技术创新能力 生产效率

安徽省哲学社会科学基金安徽财经大学研究生科研创新项目

AHSKY2022D050ACYC2023154

2024

世界经济研究
上海社科院世界经济研究所

世界经济研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.401
ISSN:1007-6964
年,卷(期):2024.(5)
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