首页|嬗变中的伙伴外交与中国企业"走出去":从"共识驱动"到"机制驱动"

嬗变中的伙伴外交与中国企业"走出去":从"共识驱动"到"机制驱动"

From"Consensus-Driven"to"Mechanism-Driven":The Evolution of Partnership Diplomacy and the Internationalization of Chinese Enterprises

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共识驱动伙伴外交建立,机制驱动伙伴关系升级,密切的外交伙伴是中国在大变局下可持续地参与国际经济大循环的重要依托.文章基于1993~2019年中国企业跨国并购数据的理论分析和实证结果,刻画伙伴外交驱动中国企业"走出去"的作用机制和模式转变动因.研究发现:外交关系每提升一个伙伴等级,中国企业跨国并购的完成和意愿案例数将提升约3%~4%;机制检验发现,伙伴外交对中国企业跨国并购的驱动作用本质在于推进双边经济合作制度化,并通过规则完善、高层交流、文化融合3个中介路径实现;异质性检验发现,在非"一带一路"区域、与中国签署BIT协议、政治互信水平较低的东道国,伙伴外交对中国企业跨国并购成效的促进作用更强;拓展检验发现,层级跃升、质量深化、机制创设3种类型伙伴关系升级对中国企业跨国并购成效的促进作用依次增强,这意味着伙伴关系通过增强制度安排约束力与执行力实现合作模式从"共识驱动"转向"机制驱动".文章结论为中国外交伙伴关系升级的方向和抓手提供了启示.
Partner diplomacy is an important force supporting China's deep participation in the international economic cycle in the post-epidemic era,and profoundly impacts the"going global"strategy of Chinese enterprises under the new development paradigm.Combining the theoretical analysis and empirical results of the cross-border M&A data of Chinese enterprises from 1993 to 2019,this paper explores the mechanism and the driving force behind the evolution of partner diplomacy that propels Chinese enterprises to"go global".The study found that:(1)For every level of partner up-grade in diplomatic relations,the number of completed cases and the willingness of Chinese companies to engage in cross-border mergers and acqui-sitions increase by about 3%~4%.This driving effect remains after considering endogeneity issues,changing models,and adding more variables.Robust;(2)Mechanism test found that the essence of partner diplomacy's driving effect on Chinese enterprises'cross-border M&A is essentially the promotion of institutionalized bilateral economic cooperation,achieved through three intermediary paths:rule improvement,high-level exchanges,and cultural integration;(3)Heterogeneity tests found that partner diplomacy has a stronger effect on the effectiveness of cross-border M&A by Chi-nese firms in host countries that are not part of the Belt and Road region,have BIT agreements with China,offer more market opportunities and ex-hibit lower levels of political mutual trust.(4)The extended test indicates that the three types of partnership upgrades-namely tier upgrading,qual-ity deepening and mechanism creation-have an increasing effect on enhancing the effectiveness of cross-border M&A by Chinese enterprises.This suggests that upgrades in partnerships can strengthen the binding and enforcement power of institutional arrangements,leading to a shift from a"consensus-driven"to a"mechanism-driven"model of partnership cooperation.

韩永辉、张帆、彭嘉成

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广东省习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想研究中心广东外语外贸大学基地

广东外语外贸大学国际经济贸易研究院

广东外语外贸大学广东国际战略研究院

伙伴外交 关系升级 跨国并购 企业"走出去"

国家社会科学基金重大项目国家社会科学基金重大项目国家自然科学基金资助项目国家自然科学基金资助项目广东省自然科学基金项目深圳市建设中国特色社会主义先行示范区研究中心委托课题

20&ZD08521&ZD07471873041720730372021A1515011814SFQZD2402

2024

世界经济研究
上海社科院世界经济研究所

世界经济研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.401
ISSN:1007-6964
年,卷(期):2024.(9)