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工业机器人应用与制造业出口稳定性:基于跨国数据的经验证据

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面对不确定性风险不断加剧的外部环境,维持出口稳定是维护产业链供应链安全的重要保障.文章利用56个国家16个制造业行业2005-2018年的相关数据,实证研究了工业机器人应用对一国制造业国内增加值出口稳定性的影响.研究发现,工业机器人应用能促进一国制造业国内增加值出口稳定.异质性检验表明,工业机器人应用的出口稳定效应对于中间品、劳动密集型与技术密集型制造业、高数字技术投入制造业以及中等收入国家更为明显.机制分析表明,生产率提升、研发投入强度与技术创新能力提升以及本土市场需求规模扩大是工业机器人促进出口稳定的主要渠道.进一步分析表明,工业机器人应用带来的行业竞争效应对出口稳定性水平的影响取决于"逃离竞争效应"与"竞争挤出效应"的相对大小.以上研究为推动工业机器人与制造业深度融合,提升制造业出口稳定性具有启示意义.
Industrial Robot Application and Manufacturing Export Stability:Empirical Evidence from Multinational Data
In the face of an increasingly uncertain and risky external environment,maintaining export stability is crucial for the security of industrial and supply chains.This paper utilizes relevant data from 56 countries across 16 manufacturing industries from 2005 to 2018 to empirically in-vestigate the impact of industrial robot applications on the stability of domestic value-added exports within the manufacturing sector.The study finds that the application of industrial robots can promote the stability of domestic value-added exports in manufacturing.Mechanism analysis indicates that the main channels through which industrial robots promote export stability include:improvements in productivity,increased R&D investment intensity,enhancement of technological innovation capabilities,and expansion of the domestic market demand scale.The impact of industrial robot application on export stability is particularly pronounced in the case of intermediate goods,labor-intensive and tech-nology-intensive manufacturing,high digital technology investment manufacturing,and middle-income countries.Furthermore,additional a-nalysis shows that the impact of the industry competition effect due to industrial robot application on export stability levels is contingent upon the relative strength of the"escape competition effect"versus the"competition exclusion effect".This research provides insights for fostering deeper integration of industrial robots with the manufacturing sector and for enhancing the stability of manufacturing exports.

唐晓华、李茹

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辽宁大学经济学院

工业机器人 制造业出口稳定性 国内增加值出口

2024

世界经济研究
上海社科院世界经济研究所

世界经济研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.401
ISSN:1007-6964
年,卷(期):2024.(12)