It is the kernel for climate target of Paris Agreement that cleaner energy should substantially take the place of traditional fossil fuels in future.The strain of the energy transition has prompted a lot of attention and research on the transition of the oil sector.It is proposed a framework combined with relevant subject literature and statistical analysis to investigate the crucial role that oil plays in the transition to clean energy and to explore feasible transition pathways for the petroleum and petrochemical industries under integrated assessment models.Additionally,cooperation networks,co-occurrence analysis and clustering analysis are adopted to make extended analysis for oil industry transition.Results indicate that under ambition of carbon neutrality,the oil industry chain is required to make fundamental changes from production capacity technology to industrial layout,including untapped oil reserves control,phase-out of expensive crude oil extraction and alternatives to petrochemical products.The development of major oil-producing nations and price strategy put a significant impact on global oil market.An abrupt shift in oil could cause multiple damages to various groups.Particularly concerning are downstream industries'adaptation and social effects.Europe leads the way in research on the oil transition road at the moment,whereas China's research in this area is manifestly lacking.In the future,multi-model comparison based on the IA model may be essential.
petroleum sectorenergy cleannessindustrial transformationParis Agreementintegrated assessment model
维普
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