水科学进展2024,Vol.35Issue(2) :348-356.DOI:10.14042/j.cnki.32.1309.2024.02.015

青藏高原雪水比例时空变化特征

Spatiotemporal variation characteristics of snowfall-precipitation ratio on the Tibetan Plateau

佘王康 杨勤丽 阳坤 姜尧志 王国庆
水科学进展2024,Vol.35Issue(2) :348-356.DOI:10.14042/j.cnki.32.1309.2024.02.015

青藏高原雪水比例时空变化特征

Spatiotemporal variation characteristics of snowfall-precipitation ratio on the Tibetan Plateau

佘王康 1杨勤丽 1阳坤 2姜尧志 2王国庆3
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作者信息

  • 1. 电子科技大学资源与环境学院, 四川 成都 611731
  • 2. 清华大学地球系统科学系, 北京 100084
  • 3. 南京水利科学研究院水灾害防御全国重点实验室, 江苏 南京 210029
  • 折叠

摘要

为厘清青藏高原地区不同相态降水及其变化规律,本文基于第三极地区长时间序列(1979-2020 年)高分辨率(1/30°,日)地面气象要素驱动数据集,采用基于表面高程和气象条件的雨雪识别方法,识别了青藏高原地区的降雨和降雪,分析了青藏高原雪水比例(SPR)的分布特征和时空演变规律.结果表明:① SPR空间分布差异显著,西高东低;② SPR整体呈下降趋势,平均以1.11%/(10 a)的速率显著降低;③ 冷、暖季均呈现降雨增加、降雪减少、SPR降低趋势,但暖季的变化速率和显著性高于冷季;④ 高原东西部降雪量在冷、暖季相当,高原中部以暖季降雪为主,高原暖季降雨量约占全年的 90%,高原大部分地区暖季降雪占全年降雪的比例呈下降趋势(-0.29%/(10 a)).研究结果有望为区域气候变化和水科学研究提供科学依据.

Abstract

This study investigates the variations in precipitation phases on the Tibetan Plateau(TP)from 1979 to 2020.Utilizing the Third Pole region's high-resolution(1/30°,daily)surface meteorological data(TPMFD)and a method based on elevation and meteorological conditions,we analyzed the snowfall-precipitation ratio(SPR)spatiotemporal characteristics on the TP.Key findings include:①Significant spatial differences in SPR,with higher values in the west and lower in the east.② An overall downward trend in SPR,decreasing at an average rate of 1.11%per decade(p<0.001).③ Both cold and warm seasons exhibit increases in rainfall and decreases in snowfall and SPR.However,the rates of change are more pronounced in the warm season.④ Snowfall is comparable in the cold and warm seasons in the east and west of the plateau.In contrast,the central plateau experiences predominant snowfall during the warm season.About 90%of the annual rainfall occurs in the warm season,and the proportion of warm season snowfall to annual snowfall is decreasing(-0.29%per decade)in most plateau regions.These findings provide valuable insights for regional climate change and water science research.

关键词

降水相态/时空变化/雪水比例/青藏高原

Key words

precipitation phase/spatiotemporal variation/snowfall-precipitation ratio/Tibetan Plateau

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基金项目

国家重点研发计划(2021YFC3201100)

国家自然科学基金(52079026)

出版年

2024
水科学进展
南京水利科学研究院 水利部 交通运输部 国家能源局 中国水利学会

水科学进展

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.931
ISSN:1001-6791
参考文献量31
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