水科学进展2024,Vol.35Issue(5) :752-762.DOI:10.14042/j.cnki.32.1309.2024.05.006

WRF/Grid-XAJ双向耦合系统构建及其暴雨洪水模拟应用

Building of WRF/Grid-XAJ two-way coupling system and its application in rainstorm and flood simulation

孙明坤 刘志雨 姚成 李致家 李超群 李荣容 何志新 黄迎春
水科学进展2024,Vol.35Issue(5) :752-762.DOI:10.14042/j.cnki.32.1309.2024.05.006

WRF/Grid-XAJ双向耦合系统构建及其暴雨洪水模拟应用

Building of WRF/Grid-XAJ two-way coupling system and its application in rainstorm and flood simulation

孙明坤 1刘志雨 2姚成 3李致家 4李超群 1李荣容 1何志新 5黄迎春6
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作者信息

  • 1. 黄河勘测规划设计研究院有限公司,河南郑州 450003;水利部黄河流域水治理与水安全重点实验室,河南郑州 450003
  • 2. 水利部水文司,北京 100053
  • 3. 河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏南京 210098;中国气象局水文气象重点开放实验室,江苏南京 210098
  • 4. 河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏南京 210098
  • 5. 安徽省气象台,安徽 合肥 230002
  • 6. 福州大学土木工程学院,福建 福州 350108
  • 折叠

摘要

为解决陆气双向耦合中气象与水文模型不易匹配的问题,基于质量守恒原理,以土壤含水量为纽带,构建高效的WRF/Grid-XAJ双向耦合(双耦)系统.通过屯溪流域2场洪水事件分析发现:模型权重参数可定量评估水文-气象模型耦合的相容性;降水同化后,双耦系统的降水峰值模拟精度稍好于WRF模型(误差在±5%内);双耦较单向耦合(单耦)系统能更准确地反映土壤含水量;降水同化前,双耦和单耦系统低估了洪水过程;同化后两者的模拟结果提升且与Grid-XAJ模型接近(三者纳什效率系数ENS>0.85),其中双耦系统洪峰模拟效果最好(误差在±11%内),说明WRF/Grid-XAJ双耦系统在暴雨洪水模拟预报方面有较好的应用潜力,为水文-气象模型双向反馈建模提供了新思路.

Abstract

To address compatibility issues between meteorological and hydrological models in two-way land-atmosphere coupling,a highly efficient WRF/Grid-XAJ two-way coupling system was constructed based on the principle of mass conservation using soil moisture as a linkage.Analysis of two flood events in the Tunxi catchment revealed the following:the model weight parameter quantitatively assessed the compatibility of hydro-meteorological model coupling;after precipitation assimilation,the two-way coupling system slightly outperformed the WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting)model in peak precipitation accuracy(error is within±5%);the two-way coupling system more accurately reflected soil moisture;both the two-and one-way coupling systems underestimated the hydrographs before precipitation assimilation;after assimilation,their simulation results improved and closely matched those of the Grid-XAJ model(all Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficients ENS>0.85),with the two-way coupling system showing the best peak flood simulation results(error is within±11%).This demonstrates that the WRF/Grid-XAJ two-way coupling system has the potential to promote the simulation and forecasting of rainstorms and floods,offering a new perspective for two-way feedback modeling between hydrological and meteorological models.

关键词

陆气双向耦合/分布式水文气象模型/Grid-XAJ模型/WRF模型/洪水模拟

Key words

two-way land-atmosphere coupling/distributed hydrometeorological model/Grid-XAJ model/WRF model/flood simulation

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出版年

2024
水科学进展
南京水利科学研究院 水利部 交通运输部 国家能源局 中国水利学会

水科学进展

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.931
ISSN:1001-6791
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