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层次分析法在北京市森林火灾应急支援决策环节实证研究

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通过运用层次分析法基本原理,确定初期森林火灾支援目标优先次序,以2005年至2020年较大森林火灾为数据来源,对北京市既往森林防火应急救援工作环节中起主要作用的关联因素予以分析,以定性定量相结合的方法将准则层、方案层各因素及类型合理编排并赋予经验比值,分别构造两个层级的正互反矩阵,得出方案层权重比值,从而确定目标层优先支援类型,为指挥调度环节发挥最优效能提供决策参考.
Empirical Study on the Application of the Analytic Hierarchy Process in Forest Fire Emergency Support Decision-making in Beijing
By applying the fundamental principles of the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP),this study aims to determine the prioritization of initial forest fire support objectives.Using data from significant forest fires during the 2005-2020 forest fire prevention years,the key associated factors that played a critical role in Beijing's past forest fire prevention and emergency rescue operations were analyzed.A combination of qualitative and quantitative methods was employed to systematically organize and assign empirical values to the various factors and types in the criterion and alternative layers.Two levels of positive reciprocal matrices are constructed,from which the weight ratios of the alternative layer are derived,ultimately determining the priority support types at the objective level.This provides decision-making references to optimize the efficiency of command and dispatch operations.

Analytic Hierarchy ProcessForest fireInitial supportMatrix constructionPriority types

韩大鹏、郑鑫、丁聪、桂德旺

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北京市园林绿化局森林防火事务中心,北京 102200

国家林业和草原局产业发展规划院,北京 100010

四维世景科技(北京)有限公司,北京 100084

层次分析法 森林火灾 初期支援 矩阵构造 优先类型

2024

森林防火
南京森林警察学院

森林防火

影响因子:0.245
ISSN:1002-2511
年,卷(期):2024.42(4)