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我国主要河川径流演变规律与归因及其区域特征

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从径流演变规律主要分析方法和主要河川径流演变规律、径流主要归因方法和主要河川径流归因分析、案例分析、我国主要河川径流演变规律与径流归因分析区域分布特征4个方面系统总结和梳理了我国近年来在主要河川径流演变规律与归因及其区域特征研究方面取得的主要研究成果.结果表明:Mann-Kendall非参数趋势检验方法是较为常用的径流演变规律分析方法,水文模型法、统计分析方法和Budyko假设的流域水热耦合平衡方法是进行径流变化归因分析的常用方法,其中Budyko假设的流域水热耦合平衡方法应用较为广泛;我国主要河川径流量除西北诸河和西南河流源区部分河流呈增加趋势外,其他区域河川径流大多呈减少趋势;人类活动是引起我国主要河川径流变化的主要原因.
Evolution law,attribution and regional characteristics of runoff for major rivers in China
Major research results achieved in China during the past recent years were systematically reviewed and summarized from four aspects,including main analysis methods and main evolution laws of river runoff,main attribution methods and main attribution analysis of river runoff,case study analysis,as well as the regional distribution characteristics of the main runoff evolution laws and runoff attribution analysis in China.The results show that the Mann-Kendall non-parametric trend test method is a commonly used method for analyzing runoff evolution law.Hydrological modeling method,statistical analysis method,and the coupled energy-water balance equation based on Budyko hypothesis are commonly applied methods for attribution analysis of runoff changes,among which the coupled energy-water balance equation based on Budyko hypothesis is widely employed.Except for the rivers in the northwest regions and southwestern rivers showing an increasing trend,the runoff of major rivers in other regions of China is decreasing.Human activities are the main cause of runoff variations for major rivers in China.

river runoffclimate changehuman activitiesevolution lawattribution analysis

徐宗学、班春广、张瑞

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北京师范大学水科学研究院,北京 100875

城市水循环与海绵城市技术北京市重点实验室,北京 100875

中国电力工程顾问集团华北电力设计院有限公司,北京 100120

华北科技学院应急技术与管理学院,河北廊坊 065201

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河川径流 气候变化 人类活动 演变规律 归因分析

国家自然科学基金重大研究计划重点支持项目

91647202

2024

水利水电科技进展
河海大学

水利水电科技进展

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.866
ISSN:1006-7647
年,卷(期):2024.44(1)
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