数理统计与管理2024,Vol.43Issue(1) :132-146.DOI:10.13860/j.cnki.sltj.20231030-003

城市让生活更美好—城镇化的有序推进与城乡居民消费升级

Urbanization for Better Life—The Orderly Promotion of Urbanization and the Consumption Upgrading of Urban and Rural Residents

刘亦文 阳超
数理统计与管理2024,Vol.43Issue(1) :132-146.DOI:10.13860/j.cnki.sltj.20231030-003

城市让生活更美好—城镇化的有序推进与城乡居民消费升级

Urbanization for Better Life—The Orderly Promotion of Urbanization and the Consumption Upgrading of Urban and Rural Residents

刘亦文 1阳超2
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作者信息

  • 1. 湖南工商大学资源环境学院,湖南长沙 410205;碳中和与智慧能源湖南省重点实验室,湖南长沙 410205
  • 2. 碳中和与智慧能源湖南省重点实验室,湖南长沙 410205
  • 折叠

摘要

利用卫星监测的夜间灯光数据构造灯光指数表征城镇化水平,基于2002-2018年中国31个省(市、自治区)面板数据就城镇化对居民消费水平和消费结构的影响,及其作用机制进行了实证考察,分别检验了消费群体、消费水平和地区差异所产生的异质性影响.研究结果表明:城镇化发展提升了居民的消费水平,通过降低生存型消费的比重,提高发展和享受型消费的比重推动了居民消费结构的升级,多种稳健性检验均验证了该结论的可靠性;异质性检验的结果表明,城镇化对居民消费结构的改善作用受到消费群体、消费水平和地区差异的影响,呈现出明显的异质性;城镇化的发展可以通过城乡收入差距的缩小和产业结构的优化间接推动居民消费结构升级,间接效应对总效应的占比达24.38%.

Abstract

Based on the panel data of 31 provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions)in China from 2002 to 2018,this paper constructs a light index to represent the level of urbanization,and makes an empirical investigation on the impact of urbanization on residents'consumption level and consumption structure and its mechanism.The heterogeneity effects of consumer groups,consumption levels and regional differences are tested respectively.The results show that:Urbanization development improves residents'consumption level,and promotes the upgrading of residents'consumption structure by reducing the proportion of subsistence consumption and increasing the proportion of development and enjoyment consumption.Various robustness tests verify the reliability of this conclusion.The heterogeneity test results show that the improvement effect of urbanization on residents'consumption structure is influenced by consumer groups,consumption level and regional differences,showing obvious heterogeneity.The development of urbanization can indirectly promote the upgrading of residents'consumption structure through the narrowing of urban-rural income gap and the optimization of industrial structure,and the indirect effect accounts for 24.38%of the total effect.

关键词

城镇化/消费结构升级/夜间灯光数据/消费水平

Key words

urbanization/upgrading of consumption structure/night light data/level of consumption

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基金项目

国家社科基金(19BTJ060)

出版年

2024
数理统计与管理
中国现场统计研究会

数理统计与管理

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.114
ISSN:1002-1566
参考文献量34
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