首页|金融结构、产业结构升级与收入分配——基于新结构经济学的解释

金融结构、产业结构升级与收入分配——基于新结构经济学的解释

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本文基于新结构经济学阐释金融结构、产业结构升级影响收入分配的作用机理,利用2000-2020年中国31个省份的面板数据对三者关系进行实证检验.研究表明:(1)金融结构能否有助于实现收入分配最优化,关键在于金融结构是否与该经济体所处的经济发展阶段相匹配,且金融制度是否根据产业发展的融资需求形成有效安排,当金融结构与产业结构相契合时,才能最大程度地促进收入均等化.(2)单纯考虑金融结构对产业结构升级的直接影响,金融结构有利于促进产业结构高级化和产业结构合理化,金融结构每提高1个标准单位,产业结构高级化、产业结构合理化将分别提升0.09%、0.58%.(3)进一步探析"金融结构-产业结构升级"影响收入分配的交互效应时,金融结构能够通过产业结构高级化和产业结构合理化抑制收入不平等.(4)采用面板门槛模型估计产业结构升级过程中金融结构缓解收入不平等的最优边际效应区间,结果显示,伴随产业结构由"低级"向"高级"跃迁,当金融结构由"银行主导型"向"市场主导型"转变将有利于缩小社会贫富差距.最后讨论产业结构升级过程中金融结构嵌入式演进以及金融结构与产业结构耦合式发展对实现共同富裕的重要政策涵义.
Financial Structure,Industrial Structure Upgrading and Income Distribution—An Explanation Based on New Structural Economics
Based on the new structural economics,this paper explains the mechanism of the impact of financial structure and industrial structure upgrading on income distribution,and uses panel data from 31 provinces in China from 2000 to 2020 to empirically test the relationship between the three.The research shows that:(1)Whether the financial structure can help to realize the optimization of income distribution depends on whether the financial structure matches the economic development stage of the economy,and whether the financial system forms an effective arrangement according to the financing needs of industrial development.Only when the financial structure is consistent with the industrial structure can promote income equalization to the greatest extent.(2)Simply considering the direct impact of financial structure on industrial structure upgrading,financial structure is conducive to promoting the upgrading and rationalization of industrial structure.For each standard unit of financial structure,the upgrading and rationalization of industrial structure will be increased by 0.09%and 0.58%respectively.(3)When further analyzing the interaction effect of"financial structure-industrial structure upgrading"on income distribution,financial structure can inhibit income inequality through the upgrading and rationalization of industrial structure.(4)The panel threshold model is used to estimate the optimal marginal effect range of financial structure to alleviate income inequality in the process of industrial structure upgrading.The results show that with the transition of industrial structure from"low-level"to"high-level",when the financial structure changes from"bank-oriented"to"market-oriented",it will help to narrow the social gap between the rich and the poor.Finally,this paper discusses the embedded evolution of financial structure in the process of industrial structure upgrading and the important policy implications of the coupled development of financial structure and industrial structure for achieving common prosperity.

financial developmentindustrial upgradeincome gapcommon prosperitythreshold effect

玉国华、宫雅慧

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西南大学经济管理学院,重庆 400715

金融发展 产业升级 收入差距 共同富裕 门槛效应

国家社会科学基金青年项目西南大学创新研究2035先导计划西南大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目

23CJY039SWUPilotPlan026SWU2309729

2024

数理统计与管理
中国现场统计研究会

数理统计与管理

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.114
ISSN:1002-1566
年,卷(期):2024.43(4)
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