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中国畜牧业现代化发展空间集聚特征及影响因素研究

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基于2008-2022年我国31个省份面板数据,使用地理集中度、空间基尼系数探究中国畜牧业现代化发展的空间集聚特征,并运用空间计量模型剖析中国畜牧业现代化发展的影响因素.结果表明:2008-2022年中国畜牧业现代化发展具有较强的空间集聚效应,表现为"散-集-散"的阶段性特征.2008-2022年中国畜牧业现代化的Moran's指数显著为正,说明中国畜牧业现代化具有明显空间正相关性.畜牧业从业人员数、机械化水平、居民人均肉蛋奶消费量对中国畜牧业现代化发展具有显著正向影响;畜牧业用水量、城镇化率、交通运输网密度对畜牧业现代化发展的影响并不显著.空间效应分解结果显示,畜牧业从业人员数、机械化水平、居民人均肉蛋奶消费量对邻近地区中国畜牧业现代化发展亦具有显著正向影响.
Study on spatial agglomeration characteristics and influencing factors of the modernization development of animal husbandry in China
Based on the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2008 to 2022,this paper uses geographical concentration degree and spatial Gini coefficient to explore the spatial agglomeration characteristics of Chinese livestock modernization development,and uses a spatial econometric model to analyze the influencing factors of Chinese livestock modernization development.The results show that the modernization development of animal husbandry in China from 2008 to 2022 has a strong spatial agglomeration effect,which is manifested as the stage characteristics of'decentralization-agglomeration-decentralization'.The Moran's index of Chinese animal husbandry modernization from 2008 to 2022 is significantly positive,indicating that Chinese animal husbandry modernization has an obvious spatial positive correlation.The number of animal husbandry employees,mechanization level,and per capita consumption of meat,egg and milk have significant positive effects on the modernization of animal husbandry in China.The water consumption of animal husbandry,urbanization rate,and density of transportation network have no significant influence on the modernization of animal husbandry.The spatial effect decomposition results showed that the number of livestock practitioners,mechanization level and per capita consumption of meat,egg,and milk also have significant positive effects on the modernization of Chinese livestock industry in neighboring areas.

modernization of animal husbandrylevel of mechanizationnumber of employees in animal husbandryper capita consumption of meat,eggs and milk

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河南质量工程职业学院公共管理学院,河南平顶山 467000

畜牧业现代化 机械化水平 畜牧业从业人员数 居民人均肉蛋奶消费量

河南省社科院项目

22E02

2024

饲料研究
北京市营养源研究所

饲料研究

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.391
ISSN:1002-2813
年,卷(期):2024.47(9)
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