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畜牧产业结构变动对农业经济高质量增长的影响

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为探究畜牧产业结构变动对农业经济高质量增长的影响,研究利用2021年3月至2022年9月时间序列数据,以向量自回归模型实证检验畜牧产业结构变动对农业经济高质量增长的影响.结果表明,畜牧产业结构变动能够赋能农业经济高质量增长;畜牧产业结构变动对农业经济高质量增长的冲击响应周期约为18个月,且直至第18个月仍有7.795%贡献率.研究表明,研究结果有利于建立畜牧产业良性循环机制,打造高端畜牧养殖模式,优化农畜产品产业链,促进农业经济高质量增长.
Effect of change of animal husbandry industry structure on high quality growth of agricultural economy
In order to explore the impact of changes in livestock industry structure on the high-quality growth of agricultural economy,this paper uses the time series data from March 2021 to September 2022,this paper empirically examines the impact of changes in livestock industry structure on the high-quality growth of agricultural economy with a vector autoregressive model.The results show that the change of animal husbandry industry structure can promote the high quality growth of agricultural economy.The impact response period of the change of livestock industry structure to the high-quality growth of agricultural economy is about 18 months,and the contribution rate is still 7.795%until the 18th month.The study indicates that the research results are conducive to the establishment of a virtuous cycle mechanism for the livestock industry,the creation of high-end livestock breeding models,the optimization of the agricultural,livestock product industry chain,to promote of high-quality agricultural economic growth.

livestock industry structurevector autoregressive modelagricultural economy grew in high qualityvariance decomposition

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江苏商贸职业学院,江苏南通 226300

畜牧产业结构 向量自回归模型 农业经济高质量增长 方差分解

南通市自然科学基金-青年基金项目

JCZ2023010

2024

饲料研究
北京市营养源研究所

饲料研究

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.391
ISSN:1002-2813
年,卷(期):2024.47(18)