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赤水河流域(贵州段)景观生态风险时空分异及空间自相关分析

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[目的]研究赤水河流域景观生态风险时空演变并厘清空间自相关特征,为提高流域生态风险防控能力,促进区域可持续发展提供理论参考.[方法]构建景观生态风险评价模型,计算景观格局指数,分析赤水河流域(贵州段)近20年景观生态风险时空演变特征,并从全局和局部对景观生态风险空间自相关特征进行了分析.[结果](1)林地、耕地和草地是研究区的主要景观类型,三者之和占比在95%以上.(2)2000-2020年,中风险面积占比均保持在50%以上,高风险和较高风险面积在近20年间共减少375.88 km2,较低风险面积增加413.96 km2,流域景观生态风险等级变化整体降低.(3)"高—高"聚集类主要分布在赤水河流域沿岸,在习水县表现为由西向东转移,在仁怀市则呈现出由南向北转移;"低—低"聚集类主要分布在流域东北部.[结论]赤水河流域(贵州段)风险等级总体呈现下降趋势,应加强对中风险区的监测,防止中风险向高风险转移,加大对赤水河流域的生态保护力度,缓解经济发展与生态保护的紧张关系.
Spatiotemporal differentiation and spatial autocorrelation analysis of landscape ecological risk in the Chishui River Basin(Guizhou section)
[Objective]This research aims to explore the spatiotemporal evolution of landscape ecological risk in the Chishui River Basin and clarify the spatial autocorrelation characteristics,providing theoretical references to improve the risk prevention and control capacity of the basin and promote regional sustainable development.[Methods]The spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of landscape ecological risk in the Chishui River Basin(Guizhou section)over the past 20 years were analyzed by constructing a landscape ecological risk assessment model,calculating landscape pattern index,and analyzing spatial autocorrelation characteristics of landscape ecological risk from both global and local aspects.[Results](1)Forest,farmland,and grassland were the main landscape types in the study area,and the sum of the three accounted for more than 95%.(2)From 2000 to 2020,the proportion of medium-risk areas remained above 50%,the area of high-risk and medium-high risk decreased by 375.88 km2,and the area of medium-low risk increased by 413.96 km2.The change in landscape ecological risk level decreased overall.(3)The'high-high'cluster was mainly distributed along the Chishui River Basin,with a west-to-east shift in Xishui County and a south-to-north shift in Renhuai City.The'low-low'cluster was mainly distributed in the northeastern part of the basin.[Conclusion]The risk level of the Chishui River Basin(Guizhou section)shows an overall downward trend.Monitoring of medium-risk areas should be strengthened to prevent the transition from medium risk to high risk.Efforts should be made to enhance ecological protection in the Chishui River Basin and alleviate the tension between economic development and ecological protection.

landscape ecological risklandscape pattern indexspatial autocorrelationspatiotemporal evolutionChishui River Basin

罗芹芹、刘凤莲、朱柯权、杨磊、赵舒

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云南财经大学 财政与公共管理学院,昆明 650221

云南财经大学 国土资源与持续发展研究所,昆明 650221

云南财经大学 云南省服务计算重点实验室,昆明 650221

中国石化股份有限公司 胜利油田分公司孤东采油厂,山东 东营 257000

甘肃省测绘工程院,兰州 730070

昆明冶金高等专科学校 环境与化工学院,昆明 650300

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景观生态风险 景观格局指数 空间自相关 时空演变 赤水河流域

2025

水土保持研究
中国科学院水利部水土保持研究所

水土保持研究

北大核心
影响因子:1.194
ISSN:1005-3409
年,卷(期):2025.32(3)