首页|典型负供电地区电力行业隐含碳减排路径

典型负供电地区电力行业隐含碳减排路径

扫码查看
电力系统是我国能源系统的枢纽与核心,双碳目标主导下的电力系统正处于低碳转型期.而对于负供电地区,其高比例外来电产生的隐含碳排放未得到足够重视,仅通过直接碳减排已无法满足低碳转型要求,需要将隐含碳排放纳入考虑,从而实现用电减排两不误,这对推动我国经济高质量发展意义重大.集成经济-能源-社会三要素,基于电量供需平衡,综合调控"电源-电网-负荷"三侧,构建电力行业LEAP模型分析电力供需结构与碳排放变化趋势,以京津冀地区为例探究负供电地区电力行业隐含碳减排路径.结果表明,隐含碳排放是负供电地区不可忽视的碳排放来源.负供电地区电量缺口扩大将引起隐含碳排放增加,而引入高煤电占比的外购电力并不利于当地隐含碳减排.进一步探究发现充分发挥非化石能源的资源潜力,控制以第二产业为主的用电增速可有效弥补电量缺口,进而提升隐含碳减排效果.因此,未来负供电地区需加强源荷双向管理,加强本地风力和光伏等新能源电源支撑,同时加速推进负荷侧特别是工业领域的绿色节能管理,并引入高新能源比例的外购电力.
The research on the embodied carbon emission reduction path of the power industry in typical negative power supply areas
The power system serves as the cornerstone of China's energy system.Currently,as China strives to achieve carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals,the power system is undergoing a transition towards low-carbon practices.However,for negative power supply areas,the embodied carbon emissions generated by high proportion of purchased electricity have not received enough attention.Only through direct carbon emission reduction cannot meet the needs of a successful low-carbon transformation.It is necessary to take embodied carbon emissions into account to balance the dual objectives of ensuring secure electricity consumption and reducing carbon emissions.This approach plays a crucial role in advancing the high-quality development of China's economy and society.This study integrated the three elements of economy-energy-society,and comprehensively regulated the three sides of'source-grid-load'based on the balance of power supply and demand.The LEAP model of power industry was constructed to analyze the changes in power supply and demand structure and carbon emissions trends,and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region was taken as an example to explore the embodied carbon emission reduction path of power industry in typical negative power supply area.The results indicated that the embodied carbon emissions were one of the sources of carbon emissions from power industry that cannot be ignored in negative power supply areas.The expansion of the power gap in negative power supply areas would lead to an increase in embodied carbon emissions.However,while the introduction of purchased electricity with a high proportion of coal-fired power could relieve the power gap,it was not conducive to local embodied carbon emission reduction efforts.Further exploration revealed that giving full play to the resource potential of non-fossil energy power generation and controlling the growth rate of electricity consumption mainly in the secondary industry can effectively make up for the power gap,there by improving the effect of electricity embodied carbon emission reduction.Therefore,in the future,the two-way management of power supply and load sides of the power industry needed to be strengthened in the negative power supply area,and the support of local new energy power supply such as wind power and photovoltaic power also needed to be enhanced.At the same time,the green energy-saving management on the load side needed to be accelerated,especially in the industrial field.Finally,the inter-provincial green power trade needed to be expanded,with a significant portion of new energy purchased power requiring importation.

embodied carbon emission reductionLEAP modelnegative power supply areascenario analysispower industry

王雨菲、戴雨岐、杨钦琨、徐琳瑜

展开 >

北京师范大学环境学院,北京 100875

隐含碳减排 LEAP模型 负供电地区 情景分析 电力行业

2025

生态学报
中国生态学学会,中国科学院生态环境研究中心

生态学报

北大核心
影响因子:2.191
ISSN:1000-0933
年,卷(期):2025.45(1)