Taking electric power and heat industry in Shanxi as the research object,the scheme of carbon peaking is studied. Based on a measurement of the current situation of carbon dioxide emissions in the power and heat industry of Shanxi Province,the power demand,power installation and power generation of the power industry are predicted,the heating demand and heat source structure of the heat industry are forecasted,and then the scheme of carbon peaking of electric power and heat industry is also predicted. According to the forecasts,the carbon dioxide emissions peak of Shanxi electric power and heat industry will be about 321耀348 million tons and it will peak around 2029. Policy recommendations for carbon peaking are put forward, and the implementation of carbon peaking scheme is promoted by carrying forward electric energy substitution,clean and efficient development of coal and power,large-scale utilization of renewable energy,energy storage development carbon capture and so on.
关键词
碳达峰/电力热力行业/二氧化碳排放/新能源/清洁取暖/需求预测
Key words
carbon peaking/electric power and heat industry/carbon dioxide emissions/new energy/clean heating/demand forecasting