首页|改革开放以来中国粮食全要素生产率的动态演进及收敛性分析

改革开放以来中国粮食全要素生产率的动态演进及收敛性分析

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提高粮食生产效率是确保粮食稳定增产、保障粮食安全的必要工作。采用DEA-Malmquist指数分析方法,对中国粮食全要素生产率的总体上、发展上和区域分布特征进行总结并探寻其产生原因,最后对其进行收敛性分析。研究结果发现:第一,1978-2018年中国粮食全要素生产率总体上呈现缓慢下降的特征,通过对粮食全要素生产率分解发现,粮食生产技术进步的落后是阻碍粮食全要素生产进一步提高的主要原因。第二,中国粮食全要素生产率发展上处于不同阶段,经历了从缓慢下降到稳态增长的变化特征,促进方式由规模效率促进到技术进步促进,再到技术效率和技术进步"双驱动"的促进方式。第三,中国粮食全要素生产率具有明显的地域差异性特征,具体表现为:从西部、中部和东部依次递减状态;同时我国粮食综合技术效率具有分散性特征。最后,通过收敛性分析可以发现,无论在全国整体还是三个区域粮食全要素生产率都存在δ收敛和绝对β收敛。因此,需要多举措提高农业科技创新应用能力和在东部地区发展智慧农业等新型生产方式,共同保障粮食全要素生产率的提升。
Analysis on the Dynamic Evolution and Convergence of China's Grain Total Factor Productivity Since Reform and Opening
Improving the efficiency of food production is a necessary work to ensure a stable increase in food production and ensure food security.This paper uses the DEA-Malmquist index analysis method to summarize the overall characteristics of China's grain total factor productivity,characteristics of different development stages and regional distribution charac-teristics,and explore its causes,and finally analyze its convergence.The results of the study found that:First,China's grain total factor productivity generally showed a slow decline from 1978 to 2018.Through the decomposition of grain total factor productivity,it was found that the backward technological progress of grain production was the main reason hindering the further increase of grain total factor production.Second,the development of my country's grain total factor productivity is at different stages and has undergone a transition from a slow decline to a steady-state growth.The promotion way is promoted from scale efficiency to technological progress,and then to the"double drive"promotion way of technological effi-ciency and technological progress.Third,China's grain total factor productivity has obvious characteristics of regional differences,which are specifically manifested as a state of decreasing in order from the west,central and east;at the same time,the comprehensive technical effi-ciency of my country's grain has a decentralized characteristic.Finally,through the analysis of convergence,we can find that there is convergence and absolute convergence in the total factor productivity of food in the whole country and in the three regions.Therefore,multiple measures are needed to improve the ability of agricultural science and technology innovation and application and the development of new production methods such as smart agriculture in the eastern region to jointly ensure the improvement of food total factor productivity.

food total factor productivityevolution lawconvergence

李成、张志新、靳玥

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云南大学政府管理学院,云南 昆明 650500

山东理工大学经济学院,山东 淄博 255049

宁波大学商学院,浙江 宁波 315211

粮食全要素生产率 演进规律 收敛性

山东省社会科学规划研究项目云南大学研究生科研基金创新项目宁波大学研究生科研创新项目

22CJJJ33KC-23233979F2023001

2024

数学的实践与认识
中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院

数学的实践与认识

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.349
ISSN:1000-0984
年,卷(期):2024.54(7)