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中国影子银行与金融监管的博弈模型构建研究

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在我国金融业分业监管的背景下,跨机构"大资管"的影子银行监管问题颇受关注,影子银行的产生与演化的过程也深刻反映了我国金融体系与监管体系的内在逻辑。以影子银行和金融监管两个子系统的内部博弈为起点,运用动态演化博弈模型,探究影子银行与金融监管的博弈过程及影响因素。研究结果表明:影子银行超额收益和违规惩罚的不对等、非银金融机构本源业务的能力不足、监管合作程度低,促使影子银行选择不断创新;降低监管合作成本、削弱监管搭便车的可能,均有助于提高金融监管合作。在研究结论的基础上,提出疏通利率传导渠道、优化金融体系结构、明晰金融监管权责、加大违规惩罚力度等政策建议。
Research on Game Model Construction of Shadow Banking and Financial Supervision in China
Under the background of separate supervision of China's financial industry,the regulatory issues of shadow banking of crossinstitutional"large asset management"has attracted much attention.The emergence and evolution of shadow banking also reflect the internal logic of China's financial system and regulatory system.This paper takes the internal game of shadow banking and financial supervision as the starting point,and uses the dynamic evolution game model to explore the process and influencing factors of the game between shadow banking and financial supervision.The conclusions of the study show that the unequal of excess return and punishment,the insufficient ability of non-bank financial institutions'original business,and the low degree of supervision cooperation make shadow banks choose to innovate continuously;Both reducing the cost of supervision cooperation and weakening the possibility of supervision free riding are helpful to improve financial supervision cooperation.On the basis of the research conclusion,the paper puts forward some suggestions,such as unblocking the interest rate transmission channel,optimizing the structure of financial system,clarifying the rights and responsibilities of financial supervision,and increasing the punishment for violations.

shadow bankingfinancial supervisionevolutionary game

周春应、骆婉琦

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南京林业大学经济管理学院,江苏 南京 210037

影子银行 金融监管 演化博弈

教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金

23YJA910006

2024

数学的实践与认识
中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院

数学的实践与认识

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.349
ISSN:1000-0984
年,卷(期):2024.54(7)