首页|"双碳"背景下的碳排放权价值评估方法研究

"双碳"背景下的碳排放权价值评估方法研究

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碳排放权交易作为绿色金融的重要组成部分,是推动"双碳"目标实现的重要经济手段。建设科学有效的碳交易机制,推动碳交易市场健康可持续发展已成为业界关注的焦点,而碳排放权价值评估是其中重要的基础性工作。文章以碳排放权作为研究对象,通过识别碳排放权的期权特性,综合运用影子价格模型和B-S实物期权模型对福建省碳排放权价值进行评估,影子价格主要表达了碳排放权的边际减排成本,可作为初始配额设定的依据,并以影子价格为基础,运用B-S实物期权模型测算碳排放权的期权价格,评估结果显示,福建省碳排放权的影子价格为47。88元/吨,说明当前市场价格过低,不利于减排政策执行,期权价值为27。86元/吨,从而得出福建省碳排放权的评估价值为75。74元/吨,这一评估结果与全国碳排放权交易市场当期的碳排放权价格相近,验证了本研究的合理性和价值评估方法的可行性。
Research on the Value Evaluation Method of Carbon Emission Rights Under the Background of"Dual Carbon"
Carbon emissions trading,as an important part of green finance,is an important economic tool to promote the realisation of the"double carbon"goal.The construction of a scientific and effective carbon trading mechanism and the promotion of the healthy and sustainable development of the carbon trading market have become the focus of the industry's attention,and the evaluation of the value of carbon emission rights is one of the important fundamental work.The article takes the carbon emission right as the research object,and assesses the value of carbon emission right in Fujian Province by identifying the option char-acteristics of carbon emission right and comprehensively applying the shadow price model and B-S real option model.The shadow price mainly expresses the marginal abatement cost of carbon emission rights,which can be used as the basis for initial quota setting,and the option price of carbon emission rights is measured by using the shadow price as the basis and the B-S real option model.The assessment results show that the shadow price of carbon emission rights in Fujian Province is RMB 47.88/tonne,a value significantly higher than the current market trading value,which is not conducive to the implementation of emission reduction policies,and the option value is RMB 27.86/tonne,which results in the assessed price of car-bon emission rights in Fujian Province of RMB 75.74/tonne.This assessment result is similar to the current value of carbon emission rights in the national carbon emission rights market,which verifies the rationality of this study and the feasibility of the value assessment method.

carbon emission rightsvalue evaluationB-S modelshadow price model

陈玲、胡喜生、康海军

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福州外语外贸学院财务与会计学院,福建 福州 350202

福建农林大学交通与土木工程学院,福建福州 350002

碳排放权 价值评估 B-S模型 影子价格模型

2022年度福建省教育系统哲学社会科学研究项目

JAS22189

2024

数学的实践与认识
中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院

数学的实践与认识

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.349
ISSN:1000-0984
年,卷(期):2024.54(10)