山西大同大学学报(自然科学版)2024,Vol.40Issue(1) :63-71.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1674-0874.2024.01.012

珠三角区域出口贸易隐含碳的测算与分解——基于投入产出模型和结构分解的实证分析

Calculation and Decomposition of the Hidden Carbon in the Export Trade of the Pearl River Delta Region—Empirical Analysis Based on Input-output Model and Structural Decomposition

周泽炯 张葆俊 张浩浩 王崯浩
山西大同大学学报(自然科学版)2024,Vol.40Issue(1) :63-71.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1674-0874.2024.01.012

珠三角区域出口贸易隐含碳的测算与分解——基于投入产出模型和结构分解的实证分析

Calculation and Decomposition of the Hidden Carbon in the Export Trade of the Pearl River Delta Region—Empirical Analysis Based on Input-output Model and Structural Decomposition

周泽炯 1张葆俊 1张浩浩 2王崯浩3
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作者信息

  • 1. 安徽财经大学经济学院,安徽蚌埠 233030
  • 2. 安徽财经大学国际经济贸易学院,安徽蚌埠 233030
  • 3. 安徽财经大学金融学院,安徽蚌埠 233030
  • 折叠

摘要

首先基于2016-2020年珠三角数据,运用投入产出法测算出口贸易隐含碳的排放量,然后通过SDA分解模型,从规模、结构和技术三个层面分析了主要影响因子.结果表明:2016年起珠三角净输入量呈现下降的趋势;从分部门出口贸易隐含碳结构分解可知,规模效应整体呈现出快速上升—达到高峰—逐渐减少的三个阶段;部门结构效应的大部分效益值为负,说明珠三角区域的产业结构较为合理,可以有效地抑制碳排放的增长.鉴于此,认为珠三角地区应当优化进出口产品结构,加大绿色低碳技术创新力度,鼓励区域间合作减排.

Abstract

Firstly,based on the data from the Pearl River Delta from 2016 to 2020,the input-output method was used to calcu-late the implied carbon emissions from export trade.Then,the SDA decomposition model was used to analyze the main influencing factors from three levels:scale,structure,and technology.The research results indicate that the net input of the Pearl River Delta has shown a downward trend since 2016;From the decomposition of the implicit carbon structure in sub sector export trade,it can be seen that the overall scale effect shows three stages:rapid increase,peak,and gradual decrease;The majority of the benefits of de-partmental structure effects are negative,indicating that the industrial structure of the Pearl River Delta region is relatively reason-able and can effectively suppress the growth of carbon emissions.In view of this,it is believed that the Pearl River Delta should opti-mize the structure of import and export products in the region,increase innovation in green and low-carbon technologies,and encour-age regional cooperation to reduce emissions.

关键词

投入产出模型/SDA结构分解模型/珠三角区域/出口贸易

Key words

input-output model/SDA structure decomposition model/Pearl River Delta region/export trade

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基金项目

安徽省社会科学创新发展研究课题(2020CX072)

出版年

2024
山西大同大学学报(自然科学版)
山西大同大学

山西大同大学学报(自然科学版)

影响因子:0.271
ISSN:1674-0874
参考文献量13
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