A Study on the Construction of the Power Demand Forecasting System under Carbon Neutrality Goal and the Development Trend of Power Demand in East China
Carbon peaking and carbon neutrality will accelerate the transformation of various industries in society,especially the energy industry.As the power industry is an energy hub,the dual carbon transformation process in the energy sector will have an undeniable impact on electricity demand.On the basis of analyzing the impact of the dual carbon goal on energy and electricity,this paper explores the correlation between the dual carbon goal and electricity demand,proposes an analysis approach for the development trend of different industries under the carbon neutrality goal,and constructs a set of electricity quantity prediction methods under the dual carbon goal.Taking East China as a typical case,the paper studies the development trend of medium and long-term electricity demand in East China in the process of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality.The research results show that the analysis ideas and scheme system constructed are scientific and feasible,and the prediction conclusions are reasonable.
carbon peaking and carbon neutralitylow-carbon transitionterminal energyelectricity substitutionelectricity demand