首页|基于多层级条件风险价值的高渗透可再生能源电力系统低碳运行联合优化

基于多层级条件风险价值的高渗透可再生能源电力系统低碳运行联合优化

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在双碳目标下,风电渗透率增加给新型电力系统的安稳运行带来挑战,而条件风险价值法(Conditional Value-at-Risk,CVaR)可对风电的随机风险进行分类量化评估,以用于系统调度运行.根据CVaR提出了改进的多层级条件风险价值法(Multi-layer Conditional Value-at-Risk,MCVaR),并建立了基于MCVaR的高渗透可再生能源电力系统低碳运行联合优化模型.仿真算例结果表明,MCVaR相较于CVaR能够显著降低系统的弃风与切负荷量,同时系统的极端损失下降了 49.45%.所提方法能够在满足系统可控风险约束的前提下,实现运行经济效益与低碳环保收益的综合最优化.
Joint Optimization for Low-Carbon Operation of High-Penetration Renewable Energy System Based on Multi-Layer Conditional Value-at-Risk
The increased penetration of wind power under the dual-carbon goal poses challenges to the safe and stable operation of the new power system,and the Conditional Value-at-Risk(CVaR)method can categorize and quantitatively assess the stochastic risk of wind power for system scheduling and operation.On the basis of CVaR,the Multi-layer Conditional Value-at-Risk(MCVaR)method is developed in this paper.In addition,a joint optimization model for low-carbon operation of the high-penetration renewable energy system is established.The simulation results suggest that MCVaR can significantly reduce the wind curtailment and load shedding of the system compared with CVaR,while the extreme losses are reduced by 49.45%.The proposed method can realize the comprehensive optimization of operation economic benefit and low-carbon environmental protection benefit on the premise of satisfying the system controllable risk constraint.

conditional value-at-risklow-carbon opera-tionrenewable energyreserve optimization

沈佳程、李梦诗、季天瑶、林镇佳

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华南理工大学电力学院,广东广州 510006

条件风险价值 低碳运行 可再生能源 备用优化

国家自然科学基金重点项目广东省重点研发项目

514370062020B010166004

2024

电网与清洁能源
西北电网有限公司 西安理工大学水电土木建筑研究设计院

电网与清洁能源

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.122
ISSN:1674-3814
年,卷(期):2024.40(2)
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