Objective To investigate the expression of serum CC chemokine ligand 2(CCL2),CX3C chemokine ligand 1(CX3CL1)and CXC chemokine ligand 10(CXCL10)in postmenopausal osteoporosis(PMOP)patients and the value of combination with fracture risk assessment tool(FRAX)in predicting fracture occurrence.Methods A total of 120 patients with PMOP admitted to Hainan West Central Hospital from January 2022 to June 2023 were selected,and they were divided into fracture group(n=52)and non-fracture group(n=68).According to the FRAX score examination,they were divided into a high-risk fracture group(n=73)and a low-risk fracture group(n=47).The levels of serum CCL2,CX3CL1 and CXCL10 in each group were compared.Multivariate Logistic regression was used to analyze the fracture risk factors in PMOP patients.ROC curve was drawn to analyze the value of CCL2,CX3CL1 and CXCL10 combined with FRAX score in predicting fracture of PMOP.Results The levels of serum CCL2(134.98±32.24 pg/ml),CX3CL1(186.25±41.60 pg/ml)and CXCL10(223.47±56.43 pg/ml)in the fracture group were higher than those in the non-fracture group(82.26±17.30 pg/ml,105.23±23.78 pg/ml,151.47±43.14 pg/ml),and the differences were statistically significant(t=11.503,13.452,7.923,all P＜0.001).The levels of serum CCL2(119.70±37.56 pg/ml),CX3CL1(161.43±53.79 pg/ml)and CXCL10(204.06±61.41pg/ml)in the high-risk group for fractures were higher than those in the low-risk group(82.43±17.23 pg/ml,107.55±24.75 pg/ml,149.45±42.50pg/ml),and the differences were statistically significant(t=6.377,6.436,5.327,all P＜0.001).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that elevated levels of serum CCL2,CX3CL1 and CXCL10 were risk factors for fractures in PMOP patients.The ROC curve showed that the combination of CCL2,CX3CL1 and CXCL10 combined with FRAX scores predicted the highest AUC(95％CI)for PMOP fractures[0.951(0.892～0.993)],with sensitivity and specificity of 98.2％and 85.6％,respectively.Conclusion The increased levels of serum CCL2,CX3CL1 and CXCL10 are risk factors for fracture in PMOP patients,and the combination with FRAX score has a good predictive value for fracture.
维普
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