石油工程建设2024,Vol.50Issue(2) :33-38.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1001-2206.2024.02.007

基于文本挖掘技术的油田集输管道失效诱因关联分析

Correlation analysis of failure inducements of oil gathering and transportation pipelines based on text mining technology

陈喜鸿 刘颖 孙玮 王雷 梁昌晶
石油工程建设2024,Vol.50Issue(2) :33-38.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1001-2206.2024.02.007

基于文本挖掘技术的油田集输管道失效诱因关联分析

Correlation analysis of failure inducements of oil gathering and transportation pipelines based on text mining technology

陈喜鸿 1刘颖 2孙玮 3王雷 1梁昌晶1
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作者信息

  • 1. 华港燃气集团有限公司,河北任丘 062552
  • 2. 中国石油工程建设有限公司华北分公司,河北任丘 062552
  • 3. 中国石油华北油田分公司检验检测中心,河北任丘 062552
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摘要

为有效预防油田集输管道失效事故的发生,以某油田2018-2021年管道失效记录为基础,采用数理统计方法分析各类管道的失效特征,利用词云图和Apriori算法分析事故类型、常见诱因及诱因间的关联规则,再通过共现矩阵构建共现网络,明确集输管道失效事故发生的关键诱因项和不同诱因发生的加速项集合,最后采用多项文本挖掘技术确定事故发展的耦合关系.结果表明,位于高后果III级区域的原油低压管段和天然气中压管段是风险管控的重点;管道泄漏、油气聚集、油池火、闪火是常见事故类型,施工破坏、土壤腐蚀、防腐层破损、管道占压、含有腐蚀性物质等是常见的事故诱因;管道泄漏和油气聚集具有强关联性,在管道泄漏条件下,发生油气聚集的概率为85.21%,两者同时出现的概率为18.21%;施工破坏、土壤腐蚀、外加电流保护失效、管道占压的共同出现是导致管道失效的主要因素;诱发土壤腐蚀和内腐蚀加速的主控原因与多项诱因相关,在后续风险管控中应尽量避免多项诱因的同时出现.

Abstract

In order to prevent the failure of oil gathering and transportation pipelines,based on the pipeline failure records of an oil field from 2018 to 2021,the failure characteristics of various pipelines were analyzed by mathematical statistics method,and the types of accidents,common inducements and rules of association among them analyzed by word cloud image and Apriori algorithm;then a co-occurrence network was constructed by co-occurrence matrix,to identify the key inducement items and acceleration items of different inducement items;and at last the coupling relation of accident development was determined by multiple text mining techniques.The results show that the low-pressure pipeline segment of crude oil and the medium-pressure pipeline segment of natural gas located in the high-consequence class III region are the focus of risk management and control.Pipeline leakage,oil and gas accumulation,oil pool fire,flash fire are common types of accident,construction damage,soil corrosion,corrosion layer damage,pipeline pressure,containing corrosive substances common causes of accidents;pipeline leakage is in strong correlation with oil and gas accumulation.Under pipeline leakage,the probability of oil and gas accumulation is 85.21%,and the probability of their simultaneous occurrence 18.21%.Co-occurrence of construction damage,soil corrosion,failure of applied current protection and pipeline pressure occupying are the main factors behind pipeline failure.The main causes of soil corrosion and internal corrosion acceleration are related to a number of inducements,and co-occurrence of multiple inducements should be avoided as far as possible in the subsequent risk management and control.

关键词

集输管道/诱因/文本挖掘/词云图/Apriori算法/共现网络

Key words

gathering and transportation pipeline/inducement/text mining/word cloud map/Apriori algorithm/co-occurrence network

引用本文复制引用

出版年

2024
石油工程建设
中国石油集团海洋工程有限公 中国石油工程建设公司

石油工程建设

影响因子:0.367
ISSN:1001-2206
参考文献量11
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