首页|成品油管道打孔盗油风险评估研究

成品油管道打孔盗油风险评估研究

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打孔盗油导致了国有资产流失,同时给生态环境和人身财产安全带来严重威胁,因此需要对打孔盗油事件发生后的可能危害进行充分的研究与分析,合理评估风险水平.以独乌成品油管道某处打孔盗油问题为例,针对事故发生后的潜在风险事件树,详细分析了气象数据、沿途人口分布、点火源及点火概率等相关参数,给出了后果估计,对成品油管道打孔盗油的个人风险和社会风险进行了定量评估研究.结果表明,打孔盗油事件会明显增大成品油管道对周围人员的风险,致使个人风险和社会风险均超出相关标准要求的限值.
Risk assessment of stealing oil by drilling holes in product oil pipelines
Stealing oil by drilling holes in the product pipeline can lead to the loss of state-owned assets,and bring serious threats to the ecological environment,personal safety,and property security.Therefore,it is necessary to carry out sufficient research and analysis on the possible damage after the occurrence of stealing oil by drilling holes and to reasonably assess the risk level.Taking stealing oil by drilling holes occurred in the Dushanzi-Urumqi product oil pipeline as an example,this paper analyzes the meteorological data,population distribution along the route,ignition source,and ignition probability in detail with the consideration of the potential risk event tree after the accident.Then,this paper estimates the consequences and quantitatively evaluates the individual risk and social risk brought by this behavior.The results show that stealing oil by drilling holes can significantly increase the risk faced by personnel around the pipeline,raising the individual risk and social risk beyond the value limited by related standards.

stealing oil by drilling holesquantitative risk assessmentproduct oil pipelineindividual risksocial risk

马建文

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国家管网集团甘肃省天然气管网有限责任公司,甘肃 兰州 730000

打孔盗油 定量风险评估 成品油管道 个人风险 社会风险

2024

石油工程建设
中国石油集团海洋工程有限公 中国石油工程建设公司

石油工程建设

影响因子:0.367
ISSN:1001-2206
年,卷(期):2024.50(6)