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油气井套损风险预测及防控软件研制及应用

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针对套损作用机理复杂、主控因素难以厘清、防控措施制定不科学等问题,开展了基于数据驱动的套损风险评价预警防控策略研究.对油气井基本数据和套损样本进行数据预处理和主控因素分析,用机器学习算法进行样本训练,建立"二分类"套损预测模型,预测套损的概率,优化完井和生产参数,制定油气井套损防控策略.开发了基于B/S架构的油气井套损风险评价预警防控软件,并链接了A2数据库,实现了某油田2 400 井层套损防控的实时预警和优化.研究应用表明:建立的预测模型和软件可以对油气井套损原因及防控策略形成认知,可以实现老井、新井、待补层井套损预防对策的优化.
Development and application of casing damage risk predict and control software for oil and gas wells
Aiming at the problems of complex casing damage mechanism,difficult to clarify the main control factors and unscientific formulation of prevention and control measures,a data-driven casing damage risk assessment and early warning prevention and control strategy research was carried out.Preprocess the basic oil well data and casing damage samples,and analyze the factor correlation and main control factors.Using machine learning algorithm to train samples,establish casing damage"binary classification"prediction model,prediction the probability of casing damage,and optimize oil and gas well completion and production parameters,and formulate prevention and control strategies for oil and gas well casing dam-age.The software of risk evaluation,early warning and prevention and control optimization of oil well casing damage based on B/S architecture is developed,and A2 database is linked to realize the real-time early warning and optimization of casing damage prevention and control in 2 400 well layers of an oilfield.The research and application show that the established prediction model and software can form the cognition of the causes and prevention strategies of casing damage in oil and gas wells,and can realize the optimization of casing damage prevention countermeasures in active wells,new wells and wells to be repaired.

oil and gas well casing damage"binary classification"predictionprevention and controlsoftware

唐庆、李娟、杨涛、谢刚、牛会钊、康泽泽、檀朝东、闫伟

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大港油田采油工艺研究院,天津 300000

北京雅丹石油技术开发有限公司,北京 102200

中国石油大学(北京),北京 102249

油气井套损 "二分类" 预测 防控 软件

国家自然科学基金校企合作项目

51974327DGYT-2018-JS-479

2024

石油化工应用
宁夏化工学会

石油化工应用

影响因子:0.276
ISSN:1673-5285
年,卷(期):2024.43(4)
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