首页|基于Informer的CFB机组长序列NOx排放预测研究与教学实践

基于Informer的CFB机组长序列NOx排放预测研究与教学实践

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为了研究循环流化床机组NOx排放预测问题,采用Informer神经网络模型对某350 MW超临界循环流化床机组NOx排放进行建模研究。首先,获取机组运行数据,对有关数据进行标准化处理;其次,确定实验方案,进行了 6种不同NOx排放长序列时序预测的仿真实验,并进行分析;最后,利用Transformer模型、RNN模型与LSTM模型按照相同实验方案进行NOx排放预测,并与Informer模型的预测结果进行对比。研究结果表明,Informer模型通过注意力机制、蒸馏机制获得了较好的特征提取能力和长序列输入能力,该模型的NOx排放预测效果在预测精度与时效性两个方面均明显优于其他三种对比模型,能够为循环流化床机组NOx排放预测提供有效技术支持。该能源动力类学生的创新与实践教育项目,有助于锻炼学生的科研思维,能够为能源动力类专业实践教学发展提供一定借鉴。
Research and teaching practice on long-sequence NOx emission prediction of CFB units based on the Informer neural network model
[Objective]Because of the limited arrangement of NOx emission measurement points in CFB units,the reductant injection amount is often inaccurate.Moreover,given that the pollutant generation characteristics of the units are different under different loads,higher requirements are placed on the accurate measurement of NOx emissions.To analyze the NOx emission prediction of circulating fluidized bed units,the Informer neural network model is used to model the NOx emission of a 350 MW supercritical circulating fluidized bed unit.[Methods]First,the overview of the circulating fluidized bed unit denitration system and the Informer neural network model theory were introduced.On this basis,the data of a circulating fluidized bed unit running continuously for 50 h were obtained as sampling data,20 parameters related to NOx emissions were determined as input characteristic parameters of the prediction model,and the relevant parameter data were standardized.Second,the simulation experiment platform and model evaluation indicators were determined,the simulation experiment steps were clarified,and the simulation experiment flowchart was drawn.On this basis,simulation experiments on 6 different NOx emission long-sequence time series predictions with prediction lengths of 12,24,36,48,72,and 96 were conducted,and regression and error analyses were performed on the simulation results of the 6 long-sequence predictions.Finally,according to the same experimental plan and the same operating data,the Transformer,RNN,and LSTM models were used to predict NOx emissions,and the prediction results of the Informer neural network model were compared with the prediction results of the three models in terms of evaluation indicators and time consumption.The comparison results of the evaluation indicators of the four models were presented in a table,and the comparison results of time consumption were presented in a bar chart.[Results]Results showed that the Informer neural network model has good feature extraction and long-sequence input abilities through the attention and distillation mechanisms.The NOx emission prediction effect of this model is significantly better than those of the Transformer,RNN,and LSTM models in terms of prediction accuracy and time consumption.When the prediction length is 24,36,48,72,and 96,the evaluation index value of the Informer neural network model is the smallest,and its prediction accuracy is better than those of the three comparison models.When the prediction length is 12,the sparse attention mechanism of the Informer neural network model cannot effectively extract the periodic characteristics of the input data.The prediction accuracy of the Informer neural network model is slightly worse than that of the LSTM model but is significantly better than that of the Transformer and RNN models.The average time consumption of the Informer neural network model is lower than those of the three comparison models,and the average time consumption is reduced by 60%compared with the RNN model,84%compared with the LSTM model,and 94%compared with the Transformer model.[Conclusions]The Informer neural network model can provide effective technical support for the prediction of NOx emissions of circulating fluidized bed units.This research serves the innovation and practical education of students majoring in energy and power at the China University of Mining and Technology,helps train students'scientific research thinking,and provides a certain reference for the development of practical teaching of energy and power majors.

circulating fluidized bed unitInformer neural network modelNOx emissionlong-sequence time series predictioninnovation and practice education

任燕燕、龙嘉豪、郭晓桐、韦德生、周怀春

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中国矿业大学 低碳能源与动力工程学院,江苏 徐州 221116

循环流化床机组 Informer模型 NOx排放 长序列时序预测 创新与实践教育

中国矿业大学2023年教学学术研究重大课题国家自然科学基金国家重大科研仪器研制项目教育部产学合作协同育人项目教育部产学合作协同育人项目

2023ZDKT0451827808220605308075918220605308080637

2024

实验技术与管理
清华大学

实验技术与管理

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.651
ISSN:1002-4956
年,卷(期):2024.41(10)