A STAMP-Game model for accident analysis in oil and gas industry

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外文摘要：Accidents in engineered systems are usually generated by complex socio-technical factors.It is beneficial to investigate the increasing complexity and coupling of these factors from the perspective of system safety.Based on system and control theories,System-Theoretic Accident Model and Processes(STAMP)is a widely recognized approach for accident analysis.In this paper,we propose a STAMP-Game model to analyze accidents in oil and gas storage and transportation systems.Stakeholders in accident analysis by STAMP can be regarded as players of a game.Game theory can,thus,be adopted in accident analysis to depict the competition and cooperation between stakeholders.Subsequently,we established a game model to study the strategies of both supervisory and supervised entities.The obtained results demonstrate that the proposed game model allows for identifying the effectiveness deficiency of the supervisory entity,and the safety and protection altitudes of the supervised entity.The STAMP-Game model can generate quantitative parameters for supporting the behavior and strategy selections of the supervisory and supervised entities.The quantitative data obtained can be used to guide the safety improvement,to reduce the costs of safety regulation violation and accident risk.

外文关键词：

Accident analysisSTAMPSystem engineeringGame theoryOil and gas storage and transportation systems

作者：

Huixing Meng、Xu An、Daiwei Li、Shijun Zhao、Enrico Zio、Xuan Liu、Jinduo Xing

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作者单位：

State Key Laboratory of Explosion Science and Safety Protection,Beijing Institute of Technology,Beijing 100081,China

School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering,China University of Mining and Technology(Beijing),Beijing 100083,China

Energy Department,Politecnico di Milano,Via La Masa 34,Milan,20156,Italy

Mines Paris,PSL Centre de Recherche sur les Risques et les Crises,Sophie Antipolis,06904,France

School of Mechanical-Electronic and Vehicle Engineering,Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture,Beijing 100044,China

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基金：

National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaR&D Program of Beijing Municipal Education CommissionExchange Program of Highend Foreign Experts of Ministry of Science and Technology,China

项目编号：

52004030KM202310016003G2022178013L

出版年：

2024

DOI：

10.1016/j.petsci.2023.12.002

石油科学(英文版)

中国石油大学（北京）

石油科学(英文版)

影响因子：0.88

ISSN：1672-5107

年,卷(期)：2024.21(3)