首页|CD64指数联合sTREM-1对老年重症肺炎患者预后不良的预测价值研究

CD64指数联合sTREM-1对老年重症肺炎患者预后不良的预测价值研究

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目的 探讨簇分化抗原64(CD64)指数联合可溶性髓系细胞触发受体1(sTREM-1)对老年重症肺炎患者预后不良的预测价值。方法 选取2021年12月—2023年12月南通市第三人民医院收治的122例老年重症肺炎患者,收集患者的临床资料,随访30 d根据预后情况将患者分为预后不良组(n=41)和预后良好组(n=81)。采用多因素Logistic回归分析探讨老年重症肺炎患者预后不良的影响因素;采用ROC曲线分析CD64指数、sTREM-1及二者联合对老年重症肺炎患者预后不良的预测价值。结果 预后不良组年龄大于预后良好组,有糖尿病史者占比、白细胞计数、C反应蛋白(CRP)、降钙素原(PCT)、CD64指数、sTREM-1高于预后良好组,白蛋白低于预后良好组(P<0。05)。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,年龄[OR=1。097,95%CI(1。007~1。195)]、糖尿病史[OR=8。466,95%CI(1。236~57。979)]、CRP[OR=1。345,95%CI(1。125~1。607)]、PCT[OR=2。372,95%CI(1。525~3。691)]、CD64指数[OR=2。251,95%CI(1。155~4。386)]、sTREM-1[OR=1。164,95%CI(1。006~1。346)]是老年重症肺炎患者预后不良的独立影响因素(P<0。05)。ROC曲线分析结果显示,CD64指数、sTREM-1及二者联合预测老年重症肺炎患者预后不良的AUC分别为0。887[95%CI(0。823~0。952)]、0。855[95%CI(0。780~0。931)]、0。957[95%CI(0。920~0。994)]。二者联合预测老年重症肺炎患者预后不良的AUC分别大于CD64和sTREM-1单独预测老年重症肺炎患者预后不良的AUC(P<0。05)。结论 CD64指数、sTREM-1是老年重症肺炎患者预后不良的独立影响因素,二者联合对老年重症肺炎患者预后不良的预测价值较高。
Predictive Value of CD64 Index Combined with sTREM-1 for Poor Prognosis of Elderly Patients with Severe Pneumonia
Objective To explore the predictive value of cluster of differentiation 64(CD64)index combined with soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 1(sTREM-1)for poor prognosis of elderly patients with severe pneumonia.Methods A total of 122 elderly patients with severe pneumonia admitted to Nantong 3rd People's Hospital from December 2021 to December 2023 were selected.The clinical data of the patients were collected,the patients were divided into poor prognosis group(n=41)and good prognosis group(n=81)according to the prognosis of 90-day follow-up.Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to explore the influencing factors of poor prognosis of elderly patients with severe pneumonia.The ROC curve was used to explore the predictive value of CD64 index,sTREM-1 and their combination for poor prognosis of elderly patients with severe pneumonia.Results The age in poor prognosis group was older than that in good prognosis group,proportion of patients with diabetes history,C-reactive protein(CRP),procalctionin(PCT),CD64 index,sTREM-1 were higher than those in good prognosis group,albumin was lower than that in good prognosis group(P<0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that age[OR=1.097,95%CI(1.007-1.195)],diabetes history[OR=8.466,95%CI(1.236-57.979)],CRP[OR=1.345,95%CI(1.125-1.607)],PCT[OR=2.372,95%CI(1.525-3.691)],CD64 index[OR=2.251,95%CI(1.155-4.386)],sTREM-1[OR=1.164,95%CI(1.006-1.346)]were independent influencing factors of poor prognosis of elderly patients with severe pneumonia(P<0.05).ROC curve analysis showed that the AUC of CD64 index,sTREM-1 and their combination for predicting poor prognosis of elderly patients with severe pneumonia was 0.887[95%CI(0.823-0.952)],0.855[95%CI(0.780-0.931)],0.957[95%CI(0.920-0.994)],respectively.The AUC of the combination of the two for predicting poor prognosis of elderly patients with severe pneumonia was larger than the AUC of CD64 index,sTREM-1 for predicting poor prognosis of elderly patients with severe pneumonia(P<0.05),respectively.Conclusion CD64 index and sTREM-1 are independent influencing factors of poor prognosis of elderly patients with severe pneumonia,and their combination has high predictive value for poor prognosis of elderly patients with severe pneumonia.

PneumoniaAgedCluster of differentiation 64Soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 1Prognosis

钮栋华、朱立成、朱麒霖

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226000 江苏省南通市第三人民医院呼吸内科

肺炎 老年人 簇分化抗原64 可溶性髓细胞触发受体1 预后

2025

实用心脑肺血管病杂志
河北省心脑肺血管病防治研究办公室

实用心脑肺血管病杂志

影响因子:1.864
ISSN:1008-5971
年,卷(期):2025.33(2)