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数字技术与价值链长度:延伸还是缩短?

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本文基于 2000-2018 年经济合作与发展组织国家间投入产出表和对外经济贸易大学全球价值链指标数据库,实证研究数字技术和价值链长度之间的关系.研究发现,数字技术与价值链长度之间呈倒U型关系,即发展初期数字技术有滞后效应,随后带来价值链的延伸,当发展体量过大时,发展失调又带来价值链缩短.创新水平和人力资本水平对价值链长度起正向促进作用,数字技术通过创新水平和人力资本水平的倒U型关系影响价值链长度.同时,由于不同行业特征以及不同价值链类型差别,数字技术对价值链长度的影响还具有异质性.调节效应表明,作为数字技术应用和发展的高质量体现和成果展示,产业智能化对数字技术与价值链长度的倒U型关系也起正向调节作用,产业智能化水平较高时,曲线会变得陡峭且拐点推迟出现,进而促进数字技术的高质量发展,这有助于全球价值链的进一步发展.
Digital Technology and the Length of Value Chain:Stretching or Shortening
This paper empirically investigates the relationship between digital technology and value chain length based on the 2000-2018 OECD inter-country input-output tables and UIBE GVC Index database.It finds that there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between digital technology and the length of the value chain.That is,digital technology has a lag effect in the early stages of development,which subsequently leads to the extension of the value chain.When the develop-ment volume is too large,development imbalances will lead to the shortening of the value chain.The level of innovation and the level of human capital play a positive role in promoting the length of the value chain,and digital technology af-fects the length of the value chain through an inverted U-shaped relationship between the level of innovation and the level of human capital.At the same time,the impact of digital technology on the length of value chain is heterogeneous due to the different industry characteristics and value chain types.The moderating effect shows that,as a high-quality manifes-tation and achievement display of the application and development of digital technology,industrial intelligence plays a positive regulatory role in the inverted U-shaped relationship between digital technology and value chain length.When the level of industrial intelligence is high,the curve will become steeper and the inflection point will be delayed.Promo-ting the high-quality development of digital technology will help the further development of the global value chain.

digital technologythe length of value chainshortening of value chaininverted U-shaped curve

孙文婷、甘清华

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南京大学 长江三角洲经济社会发展研究中心, 南京 210093

南京大学 商学院, 南京 210093

东南大学 经济管理学院, 南京 211189

数字技术 价值链长度 短链化 倒U型曲线

国家自然科学基金青年基金南京大学长江三角洲经济社会发展研究中心暨区域经济转型与管理变革协同创新中心重大项目

42101183CYD-2020018

2024

商业研究
哈尔滨商业大学 中国商业经济学会

商业研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.012
ISSN:1001-148X
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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