首页|中国农产品贸易成本测度与影响因素分析——基于大豆贸易的计量比较

中国农产品贸易成本测度与影响因素分析——基于大豆贸易的计量比较

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"适度进口"是中国粮食安全战略的重要内容,经济成本是经贸关系达成并保持稳定的基础.本文在选择有典型代表性样本大豆后,辨识了中国和世界大豆产品贸易总体状况,对中国大豆产品贸易成本当量进行了测算分解和比较分析.研究结果显示,中国大豆贸易成本当量在分析期内整体呈上升趋势;分区域看,中国与"一带一路"沿线国家大豆贸易成本当量呈下降趋势;自 2018 年美国发起对华贸易战以来,中国与美洲五国大豆贸易成本上升;多边协定对中国大豆产生了明显的贸易转移效应,说明中国大豆贸易增长主要是依靠收入增长的贡献.因此,应加强对外合作、遵守贸易规则,促进大豆产品的多元化拓展和替代,并实现进口多元化.
Cost Measurement and Influencing Factors Analysis of Agricultural Products Trade in China——Based on Measurement Comparison of Soybean Trade
"Moderate import"is an important part of China's food security strategy.Economic cost is the basis for eco-nomic and trade relations to reach and maintain stability.After selecting a representative sample of soybean,the general situation of soybean products trade between China and the world was identified,and the cost equivalent of soybean prod-ucts trade in China was calculated,decomposed and compared.The results showed that the cost equivalent of soybean trade in China showed an overall upward trend during the analysis period,with an increase rate of 33%.Regionally,the cost equivalent of soybean trade between China and the countries along the"the belt and road initiative"showed a down-ward trend,with a drop rate of 25.85%.Since the United States launched a trade war with China in 2018,the cost of soybean trade between China and five American countries has increased by 55.35%.Multilateral agreements have had a significant trade transfer effect on soybean in China,which shows that the growth of soybean trade in China mainly de-pends on the contribution of income growth,and corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.These suggestions are also worth learning for other agricultural products trade cooperation in China with the same domestic and foreign environment and similar supply and demand relationship.

soybeanedible vegetable oiltrade situationtrade cost"the belt and road initiative"

孙沛雨、佟光霁

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东北林业大学 经济管理学院, 哈尔滨 150040

大豆 食用植物油 贸易状况 贸易成本 "一带一路"

黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究专题项目

22JYH064

2024

商业研究
哈尔滨商业大学 中国商业经济学会

商业研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.012
ISSN:1001-148X
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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