首页|辽宁省西部某县2011年1月至2021年12月乙型病毒性肝炎发病率的时空分布特征

辽宁省西部某县2011年1月至2021年12月乙型病毒性肝炎发病率的时空分布特征

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目的:了解辽宁省西部某县2011年1月至2021年12月乙型病毒性肝炎(简称乙型肝炎)发病情况及其时空分布特征.方法:从该县疾病预防控制中心获取乙型肝炎资料,计算粗发病率及标化发病率;采用ArcGIS软件进行乙型肝炎发病情况的全局自相关分析及局部自相关分析,采用SaTScan软件进行时空扫描分析获取乙型肝炎发病的病例分布及时空聚集情况.结果:2011年1月至2021年12月该县乙型肝炎累计病例2 978例,粗发病率为69.25/10万,标化发病率为70.13/10万.乙型肝炎粗发病率以头台满族镇最高,其次是高台子镇和城关街道.2014年、2016年、2019年、2021年该县全局自相关呈聚集分布;局部自相关发病热点区域聚集在该县中、西部,H-H聚集区域于2014至2016年有头台满族镇、九道岭镇,2017至2019年有头道河满族乡、义州街道、城关街道,2020至2021年有前杨镇和义州街道;L-L聚集地区多集中于该县西南部,为地藏寺满族乡、大定堡满族乡和留龙沟满族乡;时空扫描分析共得到4个聚集区域,一级区域为2017年的张家堡乡,二级区域包括2011至2015年的前杨镇和城关街道,三级区域为2013至2016年的高台子镇,四级区域为2014至2017年的头台满族镇.结论:2011年1月至2021年12月辽宁省西部某县乙型肝炎发病地区主要集中在中部和西北部,中西部的聚集性高,且有随时间推移逐渐向北部地区扩散的趋势,应重视乙型肝炎高发乡镇并进行有效预防监测管理.
Analysis on the spatial-temporal distribution characteristics of hepatitis B incidence in a county of western Liaoning province from Jan 2011 to Dec 2021
Objective:To understand the incidence and spatial-temporal distribution characteristics of hepatitis B among residents in a county of western Liaoning province from Jan 2011 to Dec 2021.Methods:Data on hepatitis B incidence were obtained from the Disease Prevention and Control Center of the county,and its crude incidence and standardized incidence were calculated.ArcGIS software was used to analyze the global spatial autocorrelation analysis and local spatial autocorrelation analysis of hepatitis B incidence in the county.A space-time scan analysis was performed using SaTScan software to identify the case distribution and spatiotemporal clustering patterns of hepatitis B incidence.Results:From Jan 2011 to Dec 2021,there were 2 978 cumulative cases of hepatitis B in the county,with a crude incidence of 69.25 per 100 000 and a standardized incidence of 70.13 per 100 000.Among different regions,Toutai Manchu Town had the highest crude incidence of hepatitis B,followed by Gaotaizi Town and Chengguan Street.The global autocorrelation showed an aggregated distribution in 2014,2016,2019,and 2021.The local autocorrelation hotspots were clustered in the central and western parts of the county,the H-H clustering areas included Toutai Manchu Town and Jiudaoling Town from 2014 to 2016,Toudaohe Manchu Town,Yizhou Street and Chengguan Street from 2017 to 2019,and Qianyang Town and Yizhou Street from 2020 to 2021.The L-L clustering areas were mostly concentrated in the southwest of the county,including Dizangsi Manchu Township,Dadingbao Manchu Township and Liulonggou Manchu Township.A total of 4 clustering areas were obtained by temporal-spatial scanning analysis,the first-level area was Zhangjiapu Township in 2017,the second-level area included Qianyang Town and Chengguan Street from 2011 to 2015,the third-level area was Gaotaizi Town from 2013 to 2016,and the fourth-level area was Toutai Manchu Town from 2014 to 2017.Conclusions:From Jan 2011 to Dec 2021,the incidence of hepatitis B among residents in a county in western Liaoning Province is mainly concentrated in the central and northwest regions.The hepatitis B cases are clustered in the central and western areas of the county,and has a trend of gradually spreading to the northern areas over time.It is necessary to pay attention to the townships with high incidence of hepatitis B and carry out effective prevention and surveillance.

hepatitis Bincidencespatial autocorrelationspace-time scanning

吴依真、薛小玲、史新竹

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沈阳医学院公共卫生学院,辽宁 沈阳 110034

沈阳医学院公共卫生学院预防医学教研室,辽宁 沈阳 110034

乙型病毒性肝炎 发病率 空间自相关 时空扫描

2024

沈阳医学院学报
沈阳医学院

沈阳医学院学报

影响因子:0.591
ISSN:1008-2344
年,卷(期):2024.26(3)