Analysis and Forecast of Railway Coal Transportation Demand in Northern Shaanxi Region
Northern Shaanxi region is an important coal production base in China and on the only way to transport coal from Inner Mongolia to the south and from Xinjiang to the east,thus becoming an important enrichment area of railway coal sources.By sorting out the changes of coal resources,transportation demand,and supply in northern Shaanxi region in recent years,this study systematically analyzed the mechanisms of factors influencing transportation demand and established a prediction index system for railway coal transportation demand.The back propagation(BP)neural network prediction method was selected to forecast and analyze the railway coal transportation demand in northern Shaanxi region in the next three years.Based on the prediction results,the measures for coal transportation increment were proposed,including optimizing the layout of the road network,refining transportation organization,and strengthening the construction of a modern railway logistics system,for the purposes of avoiding limited coal supply and the repeated construction of railway infrastructure and ensuring the high-efficiency operation of the railway system.
万方数据
维普
