Economic Resilience and Population Shrinkage of Chinese Cities:An Explanation from the Perspectives of Related Variety and Inter-City Linkages
Urban economic resilience and population shrinkage are two interconnected characteristics of cities in response to structural crises.This paper analyzes the economic resilience and population shrinkage of Chinese cities at the prefecture level and above from 2010 to 2020,and explains them in terms of the city's internal technological related variety and external inter-city linkages.Overall,there is a strong positive correlation between economic resilience and population growth in Chinese cities,but there are also cities where economic resilience and population growth diverge.Based on these observations,Chinese cities are classified into four types,including growing population with high resilience,growing population with low resilience,shrinking population with high resilience,and shrinking population with low resilience.The empirical results confirm that related variety and inter-city linkages are conducive to promoting the economic resilience and population change of cities,and the economic resilience of cities with shrinking population highly depends on the related variety and urban network connections of cities.The polarizing effect of"center-hinterland"linkages leads to population shrinkage in both hinterland and peripheral cities,while the related variety and urban network externalities can help avoid population decline in shrinking cities.
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