首页|贸易政策不确定性对中国服务业全球价值链嵌入的影响研究

贸易政策不确定性对中国服务业全球价值链嵌入的影响研究

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利用亚洲开发银行投入产出数据,实证检验贸易政策不确定性对中国服务业全球价值链嵌入的影响,发现贸易政策不确定性上升会对服务业全球价值链嵌入产生正向冲击,并且贸易政策不确定性上升会通过刺激行业增加科研投入,提高其出口能力对行业全球价值链嵌入产生正向影响.异质性检验发现对外开放水平不同的行业受贸易政策不确定性的影响也有差异,内向型行业会受到贸易政策不确定性的负向冲击,而外向型行业则相反,行业贸易风险敞口会使贸易政策不确定性对价值链地位产生"U"形门槛效应.
Impact of trade policy uncertainty on embedded position of China's service industry in the global value chain
Using input-output data from the Asian Development Bank,the paper empirically examines the impact of trade policy uncertainty on the embedded position of China's service industry in the global value chain.It finds that the increase in trade policy uncertainty will have a positive impact on the embedded position by stimulating the industry to increase scientific research input and improve export capacity.The heterogeneity test shows that trade policy uncertainty has different impact on industries with different levels of openness,with negative impact on the inward-oriented industries and positive impact on the outward-oriented industries.The trade risk exposure of industries will make trade policy uncertainty have a"U-shaped"threshold effect on the embedded position of China's service industry in the global value chain.

trade policy uncertaintyglobal value chainservice tradescientific and technological innovation

赵平、姜胜贤

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贵州财经大学大数据应用与经济学院,贵阳 550025

贸易政策不确定性 全球价值链 服务贸易 科技创新

贵州财经大学校级项目

2022ZCZX061

2024

天津商业大学学报
天津商业大学

天津商业大学学报

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.529
ISSN:1674-2362
年,卷(期):2024.44(1)
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