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中国省级城乡发展差距统计测度与演进——基于HDI的研究视角

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不断缩小城乡发展差距,推进城乡融合发展,是中国实现共同富裕的必然选择.基于人类发展指数(HDI)分别编制2000-2020年中国各地区的城乡HDI,以此测度城乡发展差距,并从区域差异、收敛性、结构分解等方面对测度结果及其变动特征进行分析.研究发现:中国各地区的城乡差距均在逐步改善,城乡发展差距较大的省份主要集中在西部地区;各地区城乡发展差距指数随着时间变化呈现出明显的收敛特征,且差距越大的地区其差距缩小速度相对越快,存在一定的追赶效应;2010年以来,城乡教育差距是导致中国城乡发展差距最为重要的因素,城乡收入差距则是改善中国城乡发展差距最为重要的驱动因素.未来要更加重视加快缩小各地区的城乡教育差距,持续缩小城乡收入差距.
Statistical Measurement and Evolution of China's Provincial Urban-Rural Development Gap——Based on the Research View of HDI
It is inevitable for common prosperity to continuously narrow the urban-rural development gap and promote their integrated development.Based on the Human Development Index(HDI),the paper respectively constructed the urban-rural HDI for each region in China from 2000 to 2020,so as to measure the urban-rural development gap,and analyzed the measurement results and variation characteristics from the perspectives of regional differences,convergence and structural decomposition.The study found that:the urban-rural gap in China was gradually easing,and the areas with relatively larger gap were mainly concentrated in the western region.Meanwhile,the gap index showed obvious convergence characteristics over time,and the regions with a larger gap narrowed at a relatively faster rate,showing the catch-up effect to some extent.Since 2010,the urban-rural education gap has mainly induced the urban-rural development gap in China,while the urban-rural income gap could drive the improvement of the urban-rural development gap to a large extent.Therefore,future endeavours should focus on accelerating the narrowing of the urban-rural education gap and continuously reducing the urban-rural income gap.

provincial urban-rural development gaphuman development indexstatistical measurementdynamic decomposition

彭刚、刘孟含

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西南财经大学统计学院,四川成都 611130

省级城乡发展差距 人类发展指数 统计测度 动态分解

国家社会科学基金青年项目国家自然科学基金青年项目

22CTJ00472103166

2024

统计学报

统计学报

ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.5(1)
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