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中国省级规划执行进程测度:指数构建及其时空分布

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新中国成立以来,中央政府制定的五年计划或规划对经济与社会发展产生了极为重要的影响,但一个全面系统的能定量评估"十三五"和"十四五"期间规划执行进程水平的理论框架在学术界尚未出现.利用中央及地方政府文件中提出的规划指标,构建中国省级规划执行进程指数,测度2016-2021年间中国各省市规划执行情况.研究发现,2021年各省市"十四五"规划目标的平均完成度为77%,且之间存在较大差异;2020年,超过60%的省份完成了"十三五"规划目标,各省市"十三五"规划执行情况随年份表现出显著的空间相关性.
Provincial Planning Implementation Progress Mearsurement in China:Index Construction and Spatiotemporal Distribution
Since the founding of the New China,the five-year plans formulated by the central government has had an extremely important impact on economic and social development.However,there wasn't a theoretical framework in academia to comprehensively and systematically make a quantitatively assessment on the level of planning implementation progress during the"13th and 14th Five-Year Plan"periods.In this paper,we constructed the provincial planning implementation index by utilizing the planning indicators proposed in the central and local government documents,and measured the planning implementation situation of Chinese provinces and municipalities during the period of 2016 and 2021.The study found that,in 2021,the average degree of the fulfillment of the"14th Five-Year Plan"targets in China was 77%,along with relatively large internal differences.In 2020,more than 60%provinces have accomplished their"13th Five-Year Plan"targets,and the implementation situation of the"13th Five-Year Plan"in provinces and municipalities reflected significant spatial correlation with the year.

five-year plantextual analysistarget implementationprovincial planning implementation progress indexspatiotempo-ral distribution characteristics

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中国社会科学院大学经济学院,北京房山 102488

五年规划 文本分析 目标执行 省级规划执行进程指数 时空分布特征

2024

统计学报

统计学报

ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.5(1)
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