制造业发展对上下游产业的带动作用——基于投入产出表的考察
Guiding Effect of Manufacturing Development on Upstream-Downstream Industries——Examination Based on Input-Output Tables
刘明 1张晓雅2
作者信息
- 1. 兰州财经大学"一带一路"经济研究院/统计与数据科学学院/甘肃省数字经济与社会计算科学重点实验室,甘肃兰州 730020
- 2. 兰州财经大学统计与数据科学学院,甘肃兰州 730020
- 折叠
摘要
现有关于带动作用的研究局限于单一行业对宏观经济的直接贡献,忽视产业链中各环节相互影响的综合分析.因此,通过对制造业产业链进行整合梳理,基于投入产出法,探究制造业对上下游产业的带动作用,并对比广东省与甘肃省制造业发展状况,为甘肃省及其他西部欠发达省区制造业发展提供相关的对策建议.研究表明,制造业作为下游产业对其他产业的带动作用减弱,而作为上游产业对其他产业的带动作用增强.与广东省相比,甘肃省制造业对其他经济部门的需求影响较小,对经济的拉动作用较弱,需要优先发展制造业、建筑业以及采矿业,从而带动经济进一步发展.
Abstract
Existing researches on the guiding effect were confined to the direct contribution of a single industry to the macroeconomy,while ignoring the comprehensive analysis of the mutual influence among each link in the industrial chain.This paper firstly integrated and combed manufacturing industrial chains,and adopted the input-output method to explore the guiding effect of manufacturing industry on upstream-downstream industries.Then the paper made a comparison of manufacturing industries between Guangdong province and Gansu province,aiming to provide relevant countermeasures and suggestions for the development of manufacturing industry in Gansu province and other less developed provinces in the west.The research showed that,as the downstream industry,manufacuring industry had a weakening guiding effect on other industries,but the guiding effect of manufacturing industry might be strengthened while the manufacturing acted as the upstream industry.Compared with Guangdong province,the manufacturing industry in Gansu province had a minor effect on the demand for other economic sectors,the economic guiding effect of which was relatively weaker.Therefore,it was necessary to give priority to the development of manufacturing industry,construction industry and mining industry,so as to drive the further development of the economy.
关键词
制造业/产业带动作用/投入产出/区域对比/产业链Key words
manufacturing industry/guiding effect of the industry/input-output/regional comparison/industrial chain引用本文复制引用
基金项目
甘肃省软科学研究计划(23JRZA410)
出版年
2024