Agricultural Energy Carbon Emission Rebound Effect:Spatio-Temporal Evolution and Influencing Mechanism——Based on the Perspective of Agricultural Technological Progress
Clarifying the relationship between agricultural technological progress and the rebound effect of energy carbon emissions was conducive to accelerating the green development of Chinese agriculture and achieving the"dual carbon"goals.Based on the provincial panel data in China from 2011 to 2020,this study constructed a model of the rebound effect of agricultural energy carbon emissions,and employed the system GMM model to examine the influencing mechanism of agricultural technological progress on this rebound effect.The findings revealed that,from 2012 to 2020,the rebound effect of agricultural energy carbon emissions in China was 0.9661,indicating a partial rebound effect overall.Provinces experiencing a partial rebound effect in a given year tended to shift towards a backfire effect one to two years later.When an oversaving effect was observed,a weak rebound effect or backfire effect emerged one to two years subsequently.Across different regions,the carbon rebound effect exhibited a declining trend with narrowing disparities.Agricultural technological progress led to a rebound effect in agricultural energy carbon emissions by enhancing agricultural energy efficiency,expanding the scale of farmer cultivation,and promoting an"economization"of crop planting structures.
agricultural technological progressagricultural energy rebound effectagricultural energy efficiencyhousehold planting scaleeconomization of planting structure
万方数据
