农民工返乡创业促进县域共同富裕的新证据
New Evidence on How Migrant Workers'Returning Home for Entrepreneurship Promotes Common Prosperity in County Regions
王虎邦 1夏卫杰 1逯鹏飞1
作者信息
- 1. 吉林财经大学统计学院,吉林长春 130117
- 折叠
摘要
促进农民工返乡创业是解决乡村发展问题、实现共同富裕的重要途径,在此背景下,借助2010-2020年中国1 713个县域的面板数据,运用双重差分法和机器学习中的因果森林算法探讨农民工返乡创业政策与县域共同富裕之间的关系.研究表明,农民工返乡创业政策能够促进县域共同富裕发展.机制检验发现,农民工返乡创业政策可通过产业结构效应、就业结构效应推动县域共同富裕发展.异质性分析发现,返乡创业政策对县域共同富裕的平均处理效应整体水平偏低,且在弱财政压力、高城镇化进程、高金融发展水平和高基础设施建设的县域政策实施效果更好.
Abstract
Promoting the return of migrant workers to their hometowns to start their own businesses is an important way of solving rural development problems and realizing common prosperity.Based on the panel data of 1,713 counties in China from 2010 to 2020,the study applied the difference-in-differences method and the causal forest algorithm from machine learning to explore the relationship between policies promoting migrant workers'return forentrepreneurship and common prosperity in county regions.The study found that policie sencouraging migrant workers'return for entrepreneurship could promote the development of common prosperity in county regions.Mechanism tests revealed that these policies could drive the development of common wealth in counties through industrial structure effects and employment structure effects.Heterogeneity analysis showed that,the average treatment effect of hometown entrepreneurship policies on common prosperity in county regions was generally at a lower level,but the policies were more effective in counties with weak fiscal pressure,high levels of urbanization,high financial development,and high infrastructure construction.
关键词
共同富裕/返乡创业/农民工/产业结构效应/就业结构效应Key words
common prosperity/return home for entrepreneurship/migrant worker/industrial structure effect/employment structure effect引用本文复制引用
基金项目
教育部人文社会科学研究青年项目(21YC910008)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据