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新质生产力的统计测度与区域差异分析

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科技创新涌现、要素渗透融合、产业链扩链延链强链、新型生产关系重构是新质生产力发展的四个环节。文章基于新质生产力发展的四个环节,构建了新质生产力发展水平评价指标体系,并利用熵权-TOPSIS法和耦合协调度模型测度了2012-2022年我国30个省份的新质生产力发展水平,利用Dagum基尼系数法、全局莫兰指数以及Kernel密度估计考察了新质生产力发展水平的区域差异。结果表明:(1)我国新质生产力发展水平逐年上升,四大地区的新质生产力发展水平呈东部>中部>东北>西部的发展格局;四个环节中,科技创新涌现与要素渗透融合契合度较高,但仍是大多数省份的短板。(2)新质生产力发展水平存在明显的区域差异,但整体差异呈现逐渐缩小的趋势,地区间差异是区域差异的主要来源。(3)科技创新涌现和要素渗透融合是发展新质生产力的硬条件,产业链扩链延链强链和新型生产关系重构是软条件,二者分别形成硬实力和软实力。硬实力提升有赖于从自身资源禀赋出发来实现,而软实力提升则可以通过省份间的合作实现。(4)新质生产力发展水平的空间延展性逐年增强,绝对差异呈扩大趋势,两极分化特征逐渐减弱。
Statistical Measurement and Regional Difference Analysis of New Quality Productivity
The emergence of scientific and technological innovation,the penetration and integration of factors,the expansion,extension and strengthen of the industrial chain,and the reconstruction of new production relations are the four links of the devel-opment of new quality productivity.This paper is based on the four links of new quality productivity development to construct the evaluation index system of new quality productivity development level,then uses the entropy weight-TOPSIS method and the cou-pling coordination degree model to measure the level of new quality productivity in 30 provinces of China from 2012 to 2022,and finally,uses the Dagum Gini coefficient method,the global Moran's index and the Kernel density estimation to investigate the re-gional differences of new quality productivity development level.The results go as the following:(1)The development level of Chi-na's new quality productivity is increasing year by year,and the new quality productivity development level in the four regions presents a development pattern of eastern>central>northeast>west.Among the four links,the degree of fit between the emer-gence of scientific and technological innovation and the penetration and integration of elements is high,but it is still the"short board"of most provinces.(2)There are obvious spatial differences in the development level of new quality productivity,but the overall development trend is gradually decreasing,and inter-regional differences are the main source of regional differences.(3)The emergence of scientific and technological innovation and the penetration and integration of factors are the hard conditions for the development of new quality productivity,while the expansion,extension and strengthening of industrial chain and new produc-tion relationship reconstruction are the soft conditions,which form the hard power and soft power,respectively.The improvement of hard power depends on its own resource endowment,and the improvement of soft power can be achieved through inter-provin-cial cooperation.(4)The spatial extensibility of the development level of new quality productivity is increasing year by year;the absolute difference is expanding,and the polarization characteristics are gradually weakening.

new quality productivitystatistical measurementregional differences

黄华一、张志兵

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兰州财经大学 金融学院,兰州 730030

新质生产力 统计测度 区域差异

2025

统计与决策
湖北省统计局统计科学研究所

统计与决策

北大核心
影响因子:0.612
ISSN:1002-6487
年,卷(期):2025.41(1)