中国乡村产业韧性的统计测度与时空演进
Statistical Measurement and Spatiotemporal Evolution of China's Rural Industrial Resilience
洪名勇 1谭宇航 1王涵1
作者信息
- 1. 贵州大学 经济学院,贵阳 550025
- 折叠
摘要
乡村产业发展面临内外部双重冲击,增强乡村产业韧性、推动乡村产业可持续发展成为乡村振兴战略中的重大课题.文章通过阐释乡村产业韧性的理论内涵,构建了乡村产业韧性综合评价指标体系;在此基础上,利用2008-2020年的省级面板数据测算了中国30个省份的乡村产业韧性,并运用核密度估计、Moran's Ⅰ、Dagum基尼系数探讨了中国乡村产业韧性的时空演进特征及区域差异来源.研究发现:(1)2008-2020年,全国及三大地区的乡村产业韧性呈波动上升趋势,且东部地区的乡村产业韧性最高.(2)中国乡村产业韧性的空间分布格局相对稳定,总体呈现"东强西弱"的空间分布模式.(3)中国乡村产业韧性的空间集聚模式以"高-低"或"低-高"集聚为主.(4)中国乡村产业韧性的总体差异呈扩大趋势,区域间差异对总体差异的贡献率最大,区域内差异次之,超变密度的贡献率最小.
Abstract
The development of rural industry is faced with both internal and external impacts.Enhancing the resilience of ru-ral industry and promoting the sustainable development of rural industry have become major issues in the rural revitalization strat-egy.By explaining the theoretical implication of rural industrial resilience,this paper constructs a rural industrial resilience com-prehensive evaluationindex system,then on this basis,uses the provincial panel data from 2008 to 2020 to measure the rural in-dustrial resilience of 30 provinces in China,and finally employs the kernel density estimation,Moran's I and Dagum Gini coeffi-cient to discuss the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and regional differences of rural industrial resilience in China.The findings are as follows:(1)From 2008 to 2020,the rural industrial resilience of the whole country and the three major regions shows a fluctuating upward trend,and the rural industrial resilience of the eastern region is the highest.(2)the spatial distribution pattern of China's rural industrial resilience is relatively stable,showing a spatial distribution pattern of"strong in the east and weak in the west".(3)The spatial agglomeration mode of China's rural industrial resilience is dominated by the"high-low"or"low-high"agglomeration.(4)The overall difference of china's rural industrial resilience shows an expanding trend,and the con-tribution rate of inter-regional difference to the overall difference is the largest,followed by intra-regional difference,and the con-tribution rate of super-variable density is the least.
关键词
乡村产业韧性/时空演进/区域差异/核密度估计/Dagum基尼系数Key words
rural industrial resilience/spatiotemporal evolution/regional difference/kernel density estimation/Dagum Gini coefficient引用本文复制引用
出版年
2025
国家科技期刊平台
NSTL
维普
万方数据