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城乡融合发展赋能乡村韧性:理论机制与实证检验

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城乡融合发展是乡村韧性提质增效的重要路径。文章基于2012-2022年中国31个省份的面板数据,通过构建基准回归模型、中介效应模型,实证检验城乡融合发展对乡村韧性的影响效应及作用机制。结果表明:城乡融合发展对乡村韧性具有显著的正向影响。机制分析结果表明,矫正资源错配和推动产业结构升级在城乡融合发展对乡村韧性的影响中发挥了中介效应,其中产业结构升级的效应更为显著。中部地区的城乡融合发展对乡村韧性的赋能效应更为显著,而在西部地区无显著影响。因此,通过优化要素配置结构、驱动产业结构升级和打造区域协同发展网络,可赋能农业农村现代化、加速实现新时代城乡融合发展。
Urban-rural Integrated Development Empowering Rural Resilience:Theoretical Mechanism and Empirical Test
Urban-rural integrated development is an important path to improve the quality and efficiency of rural resilience.Based on the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2012 to 2022,this paper empirically tests the effect of urban-rural inte-grated development on rural resilience and its mechanism by constructing the benchmark regression model and mediation effect model.The findings suggest that urban-rural integrated development has a positive impact on rural resilience.The mechanism analysis results are shown as follows:Correcting resource misallocation and promoting industrial structure upgrading play a medi-ating effect in the impact of urban-rural integrated development on rural resilience,and the effect of industrial structure upgrad-ing is more significant.The enabling effect of urban-rural integrated development on rural resilience is more significant in the central region,while there is no significant effect in the western region.Therefore,it is expected to enable the modernization of agriculture and rural areas and accelerate the realization of urban-rural integrated development in the new era by optimizing the structure of factor allocation,driving the upgrading of industrial structure and creating a network of regional synergistic develop-ment.

urban-rural integrated developmentrural resilienceindustrial structure upgradingresource misallocation

赵双、余正勇、刘威

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成都理工大学 地理与规划学院,成都 610059

云南大学 工商管理与旅游管理学院,昆明 650500

清华大学 环境学院,北京 100084

城乡融合发展 乡村韧性 产业结构升级 资源错配

2025

统计与决策
湖北省统计局统计科学研究所

统计与决策

北大核心
影响因子:0.612
ISSN:1002-6487
年,卷(期):2025.41(1)