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绿色金融对农业碳排放强度的影响效应及作用机制检验

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文章选取2011-2021年我国30个省份的面板数据,采用面板分位数模型、门槛效应模型等探究绿色金融对农业碳排放强度的具体影响及作用机制,以产业结构为门槛变量考察其门槛效应,并从地理区位、粮食生产功能区两个维度进行异质性检验.研究发现:绿色金融对农业碳排放强度具有显著的抑制作用,且在不同分位数水平下其影响存在显著差异;绿色金融主要通过优化农业种植结构及推动农业绿色技术进步来降低碳排放强度;在不同的区域产业结构下,绿色金融对农业碳排放强度存在双门槛效应;进一步的异质性分析结果表明,绿色金融的农业碳减排作用在西部地区及粮食产销平衡区更显著.
Impact of Green Finance on Agricultural Carbon Emission Intensity and Its Mechanism Test
Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2011 to 2021,this paper uses the panel quantile model and threshold effect model to explore the impact of green finance on agricultural carbon emission intensity and its mechanism of action,then takes the industrial structure as the threshold variable to investigate its threshold effect,and finally tests the heterogeneity from two dimensions:geographical location and functional area of grain production.The findings are shown as follows:Green fi-nance has a marked inhibitory effect on agricultural carbon emission intensity,and its influence is significantly different at differ-ent quantile levels.Green finance mainly reduces carbon emission intensity by optimizing agricultural planting structure and pro-moting the progress of agricultural green technology.Under different regional industrial structure,green finance has a double threshold effect on agricultural carbon emission intensity.Further heterogeneity analysis shows that the agricultural carbon emis-sion reduction effect of green finance is more significant in the western region and the grain production-marketing balance area.

green financeagricultural carbon emission intensityindustrial structurethreshold effect

姬新龙、王书玉

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兰州财经大学 金融学院,兰州 730020

绿色金融 农业碳排放强度 产业结构 门槛效应

2025

统计与决策
湖北省统计局统计科学研究所

统计与决策

北大核心
影响因子:0.612
ISSN:1002-6487
年,卷(期):2025.41(4)