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中国数字经济水平地区差异、空间集聚及收敛性研究

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构建了数字经济发展水平与经济水平评价指标体系,运用全局保序主成分评价法对两方面测算,将二者对比研究;引入绝对与相对不平等测度,并将Gini系数及其分解推广到多维场合,更深入、全面地度量数字经济水平以及经济水平的地区差异,一维Gini系数仅从水平高低度量地区差异,而多维Gini系数可以反映地区差异的多维特征,提供新的地区差异测度;基于莫兰指数构造检验统计量,检验数字经济是否可以打破经济发展的地理位置限制,并探讨数字经济水平的时空收敛性.研究发现:总的来说,数字经济水平与经济水平相关性很高,相辅相成;从数字经济水平排名来看,北京、上海、浙江、江苏、广东、天津排名靠前,山西(20~27)、河南(23~27)、广西(28→30)、甘肃(27~29)、新疆(25~30)排名靠后,重庆、河北、江西、黑龙江、贵州等地排名进步较大,福建、宁夏、内蒙古、青海、山西、新疆等地排名退步较大;在新冠疫情下,中国多数省份经济水平有一定下降,但从数字经济发展水平来看,仅有福建、海南略有降低,其它省份数字经济水平仍在提高;中国经济及数字经济发展水平地区差异都较大,主要取决于东—中、东—西地区差异,中—西地区差异相对较小,它们均有不同程度下降,表明中国协调共享、共同富裕发展策略已取得初步成效;数字经济与地理位置显著正相关,但可在一定程度上打破地理位置限制,且打破程度较大;对于数字经济水平,全国及东部地区存在明显的σ收敛,全国、三大区域都存在绝对与条件β收敛,经济水平提高有效促进了全国、三大区域数字经济增长,而政府干预对全国数字经济增长有一定抑制作用,对三大区域影响不显著,人力资本对数字经济尚未表现出显著的促进作用.为促进中国数字经济健康、快速发展,同时缩小地区差异,应多措并举:继续加大数字基础设施投入力度,进一步突破空间限制,为经济落后地区提供更多支持;在经济落后地区,集中优势资源,培育数字产业龙头企业;加快产业数字化转型,大幅度提升经济发展效率;加大数字经济规范与监管力度,积极引导,以促进数字经济健康、有序发展.
Research on Regional Differences,Spatial Aggregation and Convergence of China's Digital Economy Level
To measure and compare the digital economy level and economic level,the evaluation index systems is constructed by using the global order-preserving principal component evaluation method.The concepts of absolute inequality and relative inequality are introduced,and Gini coefficient and its decomposition are extended to multi-dimensional occasions to more deeply and comprehensively measure regional differences of digital economy level and regional differences of economic level.The one-dimensional Gini coefficient only measures regional differences from the level,while the multi-dimensional Gini coefficient constructed can reflect the multi-dimensional characteristics of regional differences.A new measure of regional differences is provided.A statistical test is taken based on Moran index to test"whether digital economy can break the geographical restrictions of economic development"and discuss the space-time convergence of the digital economy level.It also discusses the convergence properties of digital economy level in time and space.The research conclusions show that:the level of digital economy and economic are highly correlated and mutually reinforcing.In terms of digital economy level of ranking,Beijing,Shanghai,Zhejiang,Jiangsu,Guangdong and Tianjin rank at the top,while Shanxi,Henan,Guangxi,Gansu and Xinjiang rank at the bottom.Chongqing,Hebei,Jiangxi,Heilongjiang,Guizhou and other regions have made great progress in ranking,while Fujian,Ningxia,Inner Mongolia,Qinghai,Shanxi,Xinjiang have declined in ranking.In the context of the COVID-19,the economic level of most provinces in China has declined to a certain extent,but from the perspective of digital economic level,only Fujian and Hainan have declined slightly,while the digital economic levels of other provinces are still improving.The regional differences of China's economic level and digital economic level are significant,mainly depending on the differences between the eastern and central regions,and the eastern and western regions.The differences between the central and western regions are relatively small,and they have declined to varying degrees,indicating that China's coordinated sharing and common prosperity development strategy has achieved initial results.Digital economy is significantly and positively related to geographical location,but it can break the geographical location restriction to a certain extent,and the degree of breaking the geographical location restriction is relatively high.For the digital economy level of the whole country and the eastern region,there are significant σ convergence.For the whole country and its three regions,there are absolute and conditional βconvergence.The improvement of economic level effectively promotes the growth of digital economy in the whole country and the three regions,while government intervention has a certain inhibition effect on the growth of the national digital economy,but has no significant impact on the three regions.Human capital has not yet shown a significant role in promoting the digital economy.A number of measures should be taken to promote the healthy and rapid development of China's digital economy and reduce the regional differences.The main measures should be taken as follows:continue to increase investment on digital infrastructure,further break through the space constraints,provide more support for economically backward regions,and focus on their superior resources,cultivate leading enterprises in the digital industry.Speed up the digital transformation of the industry and greatly improve the efficiency of economic development.Strengthen the standardization and supervision of the digital economy,and actively guide them to promote the healthy and ordered development.

digital economydigital economy levelregional differencesGini coefficientspatial aggregationconvergence

王丙参、魏艳华、张宝学

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首都经济贸易大学统计学院,北京 100070

天水师范学院数学与统计学院,甘肃天水 741001

数字经济 数字经济水平 地区差异 Gini系数 空间集聚 收敛性

国家社会科学基金项目国家自然科学基金项目

20BTJ02712071308

2024

统计与信息论坛
西安财经学院,中国统计教育学会高教分会

统计与信息论坛

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.857
ISSN:1007-3116
年,卷(期):2024.39(4)
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